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題名:民意調查應用於提名制度的爭議:以1998年第四屆立法委員選舉民主進步黨初選民調為例
書刊名:選舉研究
作者:吳重禮 引用關係
作者(外文):Wu, Chung-li
出版日期:2002
卷期:9:1
頁次:頁81-111
主題關鍵詞:提名制度民意調查黨員投票民主進步黨Candidate selection systemOpinion surveyParty primary electionThe democratic progressive party
原始連結:連回原系統網址new window
相關次數:
  • 被引用次數被引用次數:期刊(4) 博士論文(3) 專書(3) 專書論文(0)
  • 排除自我引用排除自我引用:4
  • 共同引用共同引用:174
  • 點閱點閱:44
  邇來,我國數個主要政黨陸續實施初選民調制度,嘗試結合黨意與民意,藉以提升勝選的機會,但此舉卻也引起相當的爭議。針對各黨實施初選民調的情形,反對者所持之理由可歸納為:其一,初選民調獲勝的候選人並不必然在大選中具備強勢的競爭能力;其二,迄今唯有我國政黨施行初選民調;其三,政黨喪失「選才」的重要權力;其四,使得選風更加惡化;其五,初選民調將使得在職者與頗具聲望者佔盡優勢;其六,破壞黨內團結,且落敗者仍可能執意參選到底。經由分析檢證相關資料,本文以為這些論點似乎均有其不足之處。反觀,初選民調的主要作用在於確保提名人選產生的正當性,使得落敗者無法將其失敗歸咎於黨務幹部。至於無具體反應者比例偏高的技術性問題,本文以為,提高有效樣本數(譬如增至2,400個)應為改善現行初選民調的適切方式。
  In the past years, major political parties in Taiwan used the opinion survey method to nominate their candidates, attempting to abridge the gap between party preferences and public opinions. By doing this, they expected to nominate electable candidates. However, this move has been controversial, critics charging it with some flaws: 1) those who won in the poll did not necessarily electable in general elections; 2) only Taiwan's political parties adopted the survey method; 3) the political parties lost the power over candidate selection; 4) it worsened the illegal practices of violence and vote-buying; 5) it favored incumbents and high-publicity as-pirants; and, 6) some unsuccessful aspirants insisted on running as mav-ericks, thereby thwarting party cohesion. By analyzing the relevant data, I argue that these criticisms are unconvincing. The major purpose of the survey method lies in ensuring the legitimacy of nominees and in making unsuccessful aspirants no excuses to blame the failures on the party eche-lons. As for the technical problem on high proportions of "no response," I suggest that increasing valid sample sizes might be appropriate to improve the survey method.
期刊論文
1.吳重禮(19981100)。國民黨初選制度效應的再評估。選舉研究,5(2),129-160。new window  延伸查詢new window
2.葛永光(19950700)。政黨提名制度:幾個概念性問題的探討。理論與政策,9(3),75-82。new window  延伸查詢new window
3.吳重禮(19980700)。亦敵亦友:論地方派系與國民黨候選人選擇過程的互動模式。中國文化大學政治學研究所學報,7,177-204。  延伸查詢new window
4.吳重禮(19991200)。我國政黨初選制度的效應評估。國立中正大學學報. 社會科學分冊,10(1),93-130。  延伸查詢new window
5.吳重禮(19991200)。美國政黨提名制度的沿革及其初選制度相關問題之探討。中國文化大學政治學研究所學報,8,109-153。  延伸查詢new window
6.張婉琳(20010726)。陳昭南:就算民調輸給陳蒼江,我也要脫黨選到底!。新新聞,751,74。  延伸查詢new window
7.陶令瑜(20010510)。內鬥內行的黨內初選。新新聞,740,12-14。  延伸查詢new window
8.劉義周(20010510)。戳破初選民調的民主神話。新新聞,740,80-81。  延伸查詢new window
9.Scarrow, Susan(1997)。Party Competition and Institutional Change: The Expansion of Direct Democracy in Germany。Party Politics,3(4),451-472。  new window
10.Wu, Chung-li、Fell, Dafydd(2001)。Taiwan's Party Primaries in Comparative Perspective。Japanese Journal of Political Science,2(1),23-45。  new window
11.Wu, Chung-li(2001)。The Transformation of the Kuomintang's Candidate Selection System。Party Politics,7(1),103-118。  new window
12.吳重禮(1997)。臺灣的政黨:論社會變遷與政治回應。中國文化大學政治學研究所學報,6,61-84。  延伸查詢new window
13.洪耀福(2001)。民調有解 / 民調成了新權威。新新聞周報,754。  延伸查詢new window
會議論文
1.謝相慶(1992)。提名制度及其效應:中國國民黨的個案研究。八十—年全國公共行政論文研討會,國立政治大學主辦 。台北:政治大學。  延伸查詢new window
研究報告
1.黃德福、盛杏湲、劉念夏、苗天蕙、陳競新(1991)。七十八年三項公職人員選舉之評估,第五冊--七十八年選舉政黨初選制度的評估:以國民黨為例。  延伸查詢new window
學位論文
1.Wu, Chung-li(1997)。Taiwan Political Parties: Social Change and Political Response(博士論文)。University of New Orleans。  new window
2.楊瑞芬(2001)。民進黨立法委員提名制度:民意調查角色之探討,沒有紀錄。  延伸查詢new window
圖書
1.Bartels, Larry M.(1988)。Presidential Primaries and the Dynamics of Public Choice。Princeton, NJ:Princeton University Press。  new window
2.Bibby, John F.(1992)。Politics, Parties, and Elections in America。Chicago:Nelson-Hall。  new window
3.Ladd, Everett C. Jr.(1970)。American Political Parties: Social Change and Political Response。New York:W. W. Norton。  new window
4.Scarrow, Susan(1996)。Parties and Their Members: Organizing for Victory in Britain and Germany。New York:Oxford University Press。  new window
5.Epstein, Leon D.(1967)。Political Parties in Western Democracies。New York:Praeger。  new window
6.郝玉梅(1981)。中國國民黨提名制度之研究。臺北:正中書局。  延伸查詢new window
7.王業立(200108)。比較選舉制度。台北:五南圖書出版公司。new window  延伸查詢new window
8.何思因(1993)。美英日提名制度與黨紀。臺北:理論與政策雜誌社。  延伸查詢new window
9.Epstein, Leon D.(1986)。Political Parties in the American Mold。Madison, WI:University of Wisconsin Press。  new window
10.Crotty, William、Jackson, John S. III(1985)。Presidential Primaries and Nominations。Washington, DC:Congressional Quarterly Press。  new window
11.Gallagher, M.(1988)。Introduction。Candidate Selection in Comparative Perspective: The Secret Garden of Politics。London, UK。  new window
12.Epstein, L. D.、Epstein, Leon D.(1981)。Political Parties: Organization。Democracy at the Polls: A Comparative Study of Competitive National Elections。Washington, DC。  new window
13.Epstein, L. D.(1975)。Political Parties。Handbook of Political Science: Volume 4, Nongovernmental Politics。Reading, MA。  new window
圖書論文
1.Huang, Te-fu(1996)。Elections and the Evolution of the Kuomintang。Taiwan's Electoral Politics and Democratic Transition: Riding the Third Wave。Armonk, NY:M.E. Sharpe。  new window
2.Firestone, W. A.、Riehl, C.(2005)。Conclusion。A new agenda for research in educational leadership。New York, NY:Teachers College Press。  new window
3.Ranney, Austin(1981)。Candidate Selection。Democracy at the Polls: A Comparative Study of Comparative National Elections。Washington, DC:American Enterprise Institute。  new window
 
 
 
 
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