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題名:從「安全」與「利益」的兩難中解套:再思兩岸關係中的市場力量
書刊名:遠景基金會季刊
作者:林琮盛耿曙
作者(外文):Lin, Choung-shengKeng, Shu
出版日期:2005
卷期:6:4
頁次:頁239-281
主題關鍵詞:政治自主經濟槓桿戰略產業不對稱互賴未盡開發的市場力量Political autonomyEconomic leverageStrategic industriesAsymmetric interdependenceUnexploited market power
原始連結:連回原系統網址new window
相關次數:
  • 被引用次數被引用次數:期刊(6) 博士論文(1) 專書(0) 專書論文(1)
  • 排除自我引用排除自我引用:6
  • 共同引用共同引用:270
  • 點閱點閱:52
中國大陸自厲行改革開放後,經濟表現極為耀眼,其實質國內生產毛額以每年9%左右的速度成長。其具有全球優勢的「吸金組合」─包括成本低廉的勞動大軍、支撐成長的基礎建設、獎勵投資的稅率優惠、快速跟進的管理幹部、各地湧入的資金技術、日漸壯大的國內市場等,在在誘惑全球的投資者,紛起而逐鹿中國。以快速崛起的經濟實力為基礎,中國大陸當局於是取得對臺操作「經濟槓桿」的有力工具;其「經濟統戰」策略,也使臺灣陷入「經貿利得」與「國家安全」間的兩難境地。本文主張,「經濟交流」與「政治自主」並非對立互斥。在不對稱的經貿互賴下,中國大陸當局的經濟統戰策略,未必能發揮預期的成效。反之,臺灣不僅可化被動為主動,積極「布局中國大陸」,取得應有的影響力,亦能透過「談判交易」及「衝撞加碼」的方式,發掘自身「未盡開發的市場力量」,以進取中國大陸戰略產業部門,使其採用嚇阻手段時,必須負擔龐大的經濟成本,藉此緩和兩岸不對稱經貿結構的負面影響。
After post-Mao reforms, China has achieved a phenomenal growth record. Its real GDP increases with an average of 9% every year. Behind this achievement is China's “advantage combinations”─including cheap labor force, various preferential policies, foreign investments & technology, catching-up managerial staff, heavy investments in infrastructures, and increasingly expanding domestic markets─all tempting businessmen around the world who come to invest China. Such economic base then empowers China, enabling the regime to employ economic leverage for its unification agenda. Such strategy imperils Taiwan's political autonomy and also leaves the island in a dilemma of “economic prosperity” and “national security.” In this paper, we argue against that thesis, claiming that there is no direct incompatibility between Taiwan's economic interests and political dignity. Even given the asymmetric economic interdependence, China's economic leverage may not work that effectively as been wished. On the contrary, Taiwan is able to make best use of its “unexploited market power,” such as deploying its investments in China's strategic sectors and/or alternating compromises and confrontations for better deals with China. In this way, China has to bear much heavier costs when using force against Taiwan. The tension of military confrontation across the Taiwan Strait is thus alleviated and Taiwan's status in this asymmetric interdependence is improved.
期刊論文
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15.孫明德(2004)。中國近年貿易與反傾銷訴訟概況分析。臺灣經濟研究月刊,321。new window  延伸查詢new window
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2.林向愷(2003)。臺、中經賀往來對國內經濟的衝擊與國家與經濟安全。0。100-102。  延伸查詢new window
圖書
1.愛德華.卡爾、秦亞青(2005)。20年危機(1919-1939)--國際關係研究導論。北京:世界知識出版社。  延伸查詢new window
2.Harsanyi, John C.(1977)。Rational Behavior and Bargaining Equilibrium in Games and Social Situations。Cambridge University Press。  new window
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19.(2004)。兩岸交流與國家安全。兩岸交流與國家安全。臺北縣淡水鎮。  延伸查詢new window
20.赫胥曼(1998)。相互依存與工業化。發展經濟學經典論著選。北京。  延伸查詢new window
21.Van Bergeijk, Peter A. G.(1994)。Economic Diplomacy, Trade, and Commercial Policy: Positive and Negative Sanctions in a New World Order。Aldershot:Edward Elgar。  new window
22.Daoudi, M. S.(1983)。Economic Sanctions, Ideals and Experience。Economic Sanctions, Ideals and Experience。0。  new window
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其他
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2.(2005)。兩岸經濟統計月報,臺北市。  延伸查詢new window
3.(2005)。兩岸經濟統計月報,臺北市。  延伸查詢new window
4.(2005)。兩岸經濟統計月報,臺北市。  延伸查詢new window
5.行政院主計處(2005)。經濟成長率,0。  延伸查詢new window
6.香港政府統計處(2005)。香港統計資料:對外貿易,0。  延伸查詢new window
7.行政院經濟部國貿局(2005)。93年11月份兩岸貿易情勢分析,0。  延伸查詢new window
8.行政院經濟部國貿局(2005)。94年5月份兩岸貿易情勢分析,0。  延伸查詢new window
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圖書論文
1.Knorr, Klaus(1977)。International Economic Leverage and Its Uses。Economic Issues and National Security。Lawrence:University Press of Kansas。  new window
 
 
 
 
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