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題名:縣市長選舉政見的實證分析:苗栗縣個案分析
書刊名:香港社會科學學報
作者:黃國敏 引用關係
作者(外文):Hwang, Edward
出版日期:2009
卷期:37
頁次:頁101-130
主題關鍵詞:地方首長政見承諾苗栗縣縣市長優先政見Candidates' policy programmesCounty magistratesMiaoli CountyPolitical platforms
原始連結:連回原系統網址new window
相關次數:
  • 被引用次數被引用次數:期刊(4) 博士論文(1) 專書(0) 專書論文(0)
  • 排除自我引用排除自我引用:0
  • 共同引用共同引用:24
  • 點閱點閱:45
地方政府預算最主要的決策者為地方首長,其次是行政官僚的各機關首長與財政機關首長,再其次才是議會;在預算考量因素上,地方首長的競選政見與法定辦理事項是最為重要的兩點原因。因此本文檢驗歷屆苗栗縣長當選人所提出的重要的優先政見,查看有沒有執行並比較他們的競選政見與財政支出決算,以檢驗其政見承諾是否兌現?本研究發現歷屆苗栗縣長當選人所提重要的優先政見,若屬於較具體的政見,如補助社區巡守隊裝備,達標的機率相對較高,而屬於原則性的政見其被達標的機率相對較低,主要原因是民眾對具體的政見較容易檢視,兌現與否無從抵賴,執政的縣長為了避免被攻擊因而努力兌現競選承諾;至於那些原則性的政見因內容較為模糊,民眾難以檢驗成果,縣長就有意無意間把它們忽略了。所以基於民主政治下,統治者向被治者負責的基本原則,未來應嚴格要求候選人在選舉公報上提出具體的政見訴求,於當選後民眾才有檢驗其選舉承諾是否兌現,以作為未來支持與否的依據。
The most important decision-makers regarding the budgets of local governments in Taiwan are the county magistrates, followed by the heads of the administrative departments and then the local legislators. Hence the campaign platforms of county magistrate candidates and the processes and practices prescribed by the law are the most important factors affecting the budgets of local governments. This article intends to examine whether the priority policy programmes of the Miaoli county magistrates since 1993 have been implemented as reflected by each year’s accounts. It finds that if the priority policy programmes are well defined, the probabilities of their respective implementation are higher; and if they are defined in principle only, the probabilities of their implementation are correspondingly lower because they are hard to be inspected by the citizens. As “the rulers are responsible to the ruled” is the basic law for a democracy, this article suggests that the candidates should be bound by law to provide the definite policy programmes in the election gazettes. Hence citizens can better make their judgments in casting their ballots based on the candidates’ concrete policy programmes.
期刊論文
1.Budge, Ian、Hofferbert, Richard I.(1990)。Mandates and Policy Outputs: U.S. Party Platforms and Federal Expenditures。American Political Science Review,84,111-131。  new window
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5.劉從葦(20040300)。單一行動者預設與政黨、派系競爭理論的建立--以單記非讓渡投票制下的選舉為例。人文及社會科學集刊,16(1),151-195。new window  延伸查詢new window
6.McDonald, M.、Budge, I.、Pennings, P.(2004)。Choice versus Sensitivity: Party Reactions to Public Concerns。European Journal of Political Research,43(6),845-868。  new window
7.Shapiro, R.、Gillroy, J. M.(1984)。The Polls: Regulation。Public Opinion Quarterly,48(2),531-542。  new window
8.Walgrave, S.(2006)。Policy with or without Parties? A Comparative Analysis of Policy Priorities and Policy Change in Belgium (1991-2000)。Journal of European Public Policy,13(7),1021-1038。  new window
9.Walgrave, S.、Nuytemans, M.(2009)。Friction and Party Manifesto Change in 25 Countries, 1945-98。American Journal of Political Science,53(1),190-206。  new window
10.張四明(20001000)。民意調查的科學基礎、政治功能與限制:以我國政府首長施政滿意度調查為例。行政暨政策學報,2,1-39。new window  延伸查詢new window
11.徐美苓、夏春祥(19970100)。民意、媒體與社會環境--以解嚴後民意測驗新聞報導主題為例。新聞學研究,54,167-188。new window  延伸查詢new window
12.Isaacs, M.(1998)。Two Different Worlds: The Relationship Between Elite and Mass Opinion on American Foreign Policy。Political Communication,15(3),323-345。  new window
13.Monroe, A. D.(1998)。Public opinion and public policy, 1980-1993。Public Opinion Quarterly,62(1),6-28。  new window
14.Stimson, James A.、Mackuen, Michael B.、Erikson, Robert S.(1995)。Dynamic Representation。American Political Science Review,89(3),543-565。  new window
研究報告
1.朱敬一(1996)。模糊的政見分析 (計畫編號:NSC85-2417-H002-027)。國立台灣大學經濟學系暨研究所。  延伸查詢new window
2.楊建成(1997)。政黨在政見和動員上的競爭 (計畫編號:NSC86-2415-H001-018)。  延伸查詢new window
圖書
1.Key, V. O. Jr.(1961)。Public Opinion and American Democracy。New York, NY:Alfred A. Knopf。  new window
2.徐仁輝(2001)。預算赤字與預算改革。臺北:智勝文化。  延伸查詢new window
3.Klingemann, H. D.、Hofferbert, R. I.、Budge, I.(1994)。Parties, Policies, and Democracy。Boulder, CO:Westview Press。  new window
4.Lowi, Theodore J.(1969)。The End of Liberalism, Ideology, Policy, and the Crisis of Public Authority。New York:W. W. Norton and Company。  new window
5.Stimson, J.(1999)。Public American Opinion: Moods, Cycles, and Swings。Boulder, CO:Westview Press。  new window
6.Page, Benjamin、Shapiro, Robert(1992)。The Rational Public: Fifty Years of Trends in American's Policy Preferences。Chicago:University of Chicago Press。  new window
7.Schattschneider, Elmer Eric(1960)。The Semi-Sovereign People: A Realist's View of Democracy in America。Holt, Rinehart, and Winston。  new window
8.Schumpeter, J. A.(1976)。Capitalism, socialism, and democracy。New York:Harper and Brothers。  new window
9.Cohen, Jeffrey E.(1997)。Presidential Responsiveness and Public Policy-making: The Public and the Policies that Presidents Choose。Ann Arbor, Michigan:The University of Michigan Press。  new window
10.余致力(2001)。民意與公共政策。臺北:五南。  延伸查詢new window
11.Erikson, Robert S.、Tedin, Kent L.(1995)。American Public Opinion。Allyn and Bacon。  new window
12.Devine, D. J.(1970)。The Attentive Public: Polyarchical Democracy。Chicago:Rand McNally。  new window
13.Dahl, Robert A.(1971)。Polyarchy: Participation & Opposition。New Haven, CT。  new window
14.Dye, Thomas R.(1998)。Understanding Public Policy。Prentice-Hall。  new window
15.Dahl, Robert A.(1956)。A Preface to Democratic Theory。Chicago:University of Chicago Press。  new window
16.Downs, Anthony J.(1957)。An Economic Theory of Democracy。New York:Harper and Row。  new window
17.Ranney, Austin(1993)。Governing: An Introduction to Political Science。New York:CBS Colledge Publishing。  new window
18.Dryzek, John S.(1990)。Discursive democracy: politics, policy, and political science。Cambridge University Press。  new window
19.Mayhew, David R.(2004)。Congress: The Electoral Connection。Yale University Press。  new window
其他
1.Hearl, Derek(2001)。Checking the Party Policy Estimates: Reliability,New York Oxford University Press。  new window
2.Hofferbeit, R., Budge, I.(1992)。The party mandate and the Westminster model: election programmes and government spending in Britain。  new window
3.Huber, John, and Inglehart, Ronald(1998)。Expert Interpretations of Party Space and Party Locations in 42 Societies。  new window
4.Laver, Michael and Garry, John(2000)。Estimating policy positions from political texts。  new window
5.Layer, Michael, and Hunt, Ben(1992)。Policy and Party Competition,New York:Routledge。  new window
6.Liu, Tsung-Wei(2002)。The Effects of Electoral Laws on Party Competition in Taiwan 1989-1998, with particular reference to the single non-transferable vote (SNTV)。  new window
7.Luttbeg, N.(1968)。Political Linkage in a Large Society,Homewood:Dorsey。  new window
8.McDonald, M. and Budge, I.(2005)。Elections. Parties, Democracy: Conferring the Media Mandate,Oxford:Oxford University Press。  new window
9.Monroe, A.(1979)。Consistency between constituency preferences and national policy decisions。  new window
10.Robertson, David(1976)。A Theory of Party Competition,London:Wiley。  new window
圖書論文
1.呂亞力(1998)。人事與政策。台灣人看政治。台北:中華徵信所。  延伸查詢new window
2.趙少康(1985)。選民‧政見‧候選人。理性的抉擇:選民‧政見‧候選人。台北:嵩山。  延伸查詢new window
3.謝延庚(1985)。政黨在選舉中的角色。理性的抉擇:選民‧政見‧候選人。台北:嵩山。  延伸查詢new window
4.謬全吉(1985)。以理性檢視政見。理性的抉擇:選民‧政見‧候選人。台北:嵩山。  延伸查詢new window
5.Budge, I.、Bara, J.(2001)。Manifesto-Based Research: A Critical Overview。Mapping Policy Preferences: Estimates for Parties, Electors and Governments 1945-1998。Oxford:Oxford University Press。  new window
6.Budge, I.、Klingemann, H.(2001)。Finally! Comparative Over-time Mapping of Party Policy Movement。Mapping Policy Preferences: Estimates for Parties, Electors and Governments 1945-1998。Oxford:Oxford University Press。  new window
 
 
 
 
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