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題名：都市街頭搶奪犯罪熱點分析：日常活動理論之觀點
書刊名：都市與計劃
作者：張淑貞／李素馨 引用關係
作者(外文)：Chang, Shu-chen／Lee, Su-hsin
出版日期：2012
卷期：39:1
頁次：頁71-94
主題關鍵詞：空間自相關；群聚分析；搶劫；道路便捷度；Spatial autocorrelation；Cluster analysis；Robbery；Road accessibility
原始連結：連回原系統網址new window
相關次數：
  • 被引用次數被引用次數:期刊(6) 博士論文(0) 專書(0) 專書論文(0)
  • 排除自我引用排除自我引用:5
  • 共同引用共同引用:81
  • 點閱點閱:217
台灣都市街頭搶奪犯罪問題日益嚴重，已造成民眾外出時的安全隱憂。雖然相關研究者提出犯罪不是均勻的分布在空間上，但在實務與研究上如何界定犯罪空間群聚現象卻是一項困難的挑戰。因此，本研究以全域型空間自相關之 Moran’s I值來證明犯罪是否有空間群聚現象，地域型空間自相關以 LISA來定義犯罪顯著熱點及冷點分布，並以二項式邏輯斯特迴歸分析來探討社會及空間等因子對街頭搶奪犯罪熱點分布之影響。本研究以台中市西屯區 2001~2005年之街頭搶奪犯罪為實證研究對象，共計 1,272件。研究結果發現：(1)街頭搶奪犯罪有空間群聚現象，且犯罪空間群聚程度與分布與商業活動有關聯，白天顯著熱點集中在住商混合區，晚上顯著熱點集中在夜市商圈。 (2)銀行密度和批發零售業密度對白天街頭搶奪犯罪熱點分布有顯著正向影響力，餐飲業密度、娛樂業密度和工業密度對夜晚街頭搶奪犯罪熱點分布有顯著正向影響力，道路便捷度對白天和夜晚街頭搶奪犯罪熱點分布有顯著正向影響力。
Bag snatching on city streets has become a growing problem in cities in Taiwan, creating a serious public safety issue. Although, numerous studies have concluded that crime is not evenly distributed across space, identifying spatial crime clusterings remains challenging for researchers and police officials. This study analyzes the spatial dimensions of bag snatching crimes, and utilizes Moran's I of “global spatial autocorrelation” to demonstrate whether such crimes occur in clusters. LISA, “local spatial autocorrelation” is applied to define significant hot and cold spots bag snatching crimes. Social and spatial effects on the distribution of hot spots were also analyzed via dichotomous logistic regression analysis. This study analyzed 1,272 street snatches recorded from 2001 to 2005 in Situn District of Taichung City. The results demonstrated that: (1) spatial clustering existed and its degree and time distribution were related to specific types of daily businesses activities. The main significant hot spots for bag snatching were distributed in mixed residential and business areas in the daytime and in night-market business areas at nighttime. (2) Density of banks and retailers increased clusters of bag snatching crimes in the daytime, while entertainment businesses, restaurants and industry were positively correlated with such crimes at nighttime. Road accessibility was positively correlated with the incidence of bag snatching in both the daytime and the nighttime.
期刊論文
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9.鄒克萬、張秀玲、張曜麟(20021100)。整合空間統計技術之土地大量估價方法之研究。都市與計劃，29(3)，395-420。new window  延伸查詢new window
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會議論文
1.孟維德、楊士隆(2006)。治安維護與城市治理--以台中市為例。安全城市，美麗台中 : 台中市治安論壇，中華民國犯罪學學會, 台中市工商發展投資策進會 (合辦) 1-32。  延伸查詢new window
2.張淑貞、李素馨(2003)。街道搶奪犯罪情境之研究--以台中市西屯區為例。台中。I4-1-I4-6。  延伸查詢new window
3.葉坤福(2006)。改善台中市治安具體策略作為。台中。1-18。  延伸查詢new window
4.蘇智鋒(2001)。空間型構基因導論：SPACE SYNTAX(空間型構法則)之運用。台中。323-336。  延伸查詢new window
研究報告
1.中央警察大學(2004)。街頭搶奪犯罪問題研究。  延伸查詢new window
2.蔡德輝、楊士隆(2006)。台中市治安肇因及因應對策研究報告。台中。  延伸查詢new window
學位論文
1.林進發(2005)。臺中市搶奪犯罪熱點之空間分析(碩士論文)。國立彰化師範大學。  延伸查詢new window
2.湯巧君(2007)。利用犯罪地圖分析臺中市2005年搶奪案之時空差異(碩士論文)。高雄師範大學。  延伸查詢new window
3.陳慈仁(2001)。台北市資訊軟體業與網際網路服務業區位分佈之研究(碩士論文)。國立臺灣大學。  延伸查詢new window
4.朱健銘(2000)。土地利用空間型態之研究(碩士論文)。國立臺灣大學。  延伸查詢new window
5.楊士霆(2001)。應用經驗貝氏估計法於(M,Q) Policy等候系統最適決策之研究。國立屏東科技大學。  延伸查詢new window
圖書
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圖書論文
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2.Cameron, J. G.、Marketing, M. D.、Leitner, M.(2005)。Spatial analysis tools for identifying hot spots。Mapping Crime: Understanding Hot Spots。Washington, DC：Department of Justice Office of Justice Programs。  new window
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