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題名:貧窮持續時間的動態分析:以嘉義縣1990-1998年之低收入戶為例
書刊名:臺灣社會學刊
作者:王仕圖 引用關係王德睦 引用關係蔡勇美
作者(外文):Wang, Shu-twuWang, Te-muTsai, Yung-mei
出版日期:2001
卷期:26
頁次:頁211-249
主題關鍵詞:貧窮貧窮時段追蹤調查存活分析PovertyPoverty spellPanel studySurvival analysis
原始連結:連回原系統網址new window
相關次數:
  • 被引用次數被引用次數:期刊(14) 博士論文(2) 專書(0) 專書論文(1)
  • 排除自我引用排除自我引用:12
  • 共同引用共同引用:110
  • 點閱點閱:72
早期許多貧窮研究都存在一種看法,就是影射一群人口長期處於貧窮的狀態。但「所得動態的追蹤研究」(Panel Study of Income Dynamics) 的研究卻發現褔利使用者雖然有少數是長期的福利依賴者,卻有相當部分的使用者只是短暫的停留。這個論點使得貧窮動態的研究成為關心的焦點。本研究利用1990-1998年之嘉義縣低收入家戶的追蹤資料,分析貧窮持續時間的動態、不同觀察方式貧窮時間分佈、以及影響脫離貧窮的因素等。以1990年的低收入戶作為起始年並計算貧窮的持續時間,則貧窮的中位年數為4.69年。以「貧窮時段」( poverty spell ) 為計算單位,貧窮的中位年數為3.97年,一半的家戶會在第四年以前脫離貧窮,有四分之一的家戶在追蹤時間結束時尚未脫離。不同觀察方式下的貧窮時間分佈方面,完整的貧窮時段的分配部分,超過30%的家戶會在第二年以前脫離貧窮。但從某一時間點觀察脫離貧窮者的持續時間分佈,一半以上的福利資源為持續達八年以上的家戶所使用。另外從「比例風險模型」的分析,可以瞭解低收入家戶戶長的年齡、教育年數、健康地位是影響家戶脫離貧窮風險的重要個人特質;在家戶特質部分,單親家戶和戶內具有工作能力人口則具有顯著的影響。
Most poverty research operates from a similar perspective, looking at the conditions of people during poverty. However, the Panel Study of Income Dynamics revealed that only a small number of welfare recipients receive it for an extended period, and a great number of welfare recipients receive it for only a short time. This has now become a focal point of further poverty research. Based on panel data from Chia- Yi County during the 1990-1998 period, we analyzed the duration of poverty spells and the distributions of completed and uncompleted spells of poverty. We also report results of our analysis on factors affecting escape from poverty among these households. The results of our analysis indicate that the median duration of poverty was 4.69 years, when cohort-based estimates were used. When the data on the spells of poor households was used, the median spell of poverty was estimated to be 3.97 years long. More than 50 percent of poor households escaped poverty within 4 years and only one-quarter of poor households were in poverty for over eight years. The results of comparing the completed and the uncompleted spells show that among the former the duration tended to be shorter than the latter. Among the completed spells, more than 30 percent of them ended within 2 years. However, at any given point in time, the bulk of poor households were those experiencing a relatively long-term bou t of poverty. When the proportional hazard model was used, the age of the heads of households, the number of years of schooling, and health status were found to be important factors contributing to the possibility of leaving poverty. Among the household characteristics, we found that the single-parent households and the number of household members with the ability to work directly affect the probability of leaving poverty.
期刊論文
1.Blank, Rebecca M.(1989)。Analyzing the Length of Welfare Spells。Journal of Public Economics,39(3),245-273。  new window
2.林松齡(19800900)。臺灣中部地區貧窮現象之研究--臺中市低收入戶專案研究。臺灣銀行季刊,31(3),189-223。new window  延伸查詢new window
3.O'Neill, June A.、Bassi, Laurie J.、Wolf, Douglas A.(1987)。The Duration of Welfare Spells。The Review of Economics and Statistics,69(2),241-249。  new window
4.Bane, Mary Jo、Ellwood, David T.(1986)。Slipping into and out of Poverty: The Dynamics of Spells。The Journal of Human Resources,21(1),1-23。  new window
5.Cox, D. R.(1972)。Regression models and life-tables (with discussion)。Journal of the Royal Statistical Society, Series B: Methodological,34,187-220。  new window
6.陳淑英(19831200)。突破貧窮的惡性循環:致貧因素之因徑分析。社區發展季刊,24,63-70。new window  延伸查詢new window
7.陳正峰、王德睦、王仕圖、蔡勇美(19991200)。老人單身家戶、女性單親家戶與貧窮:嘉義縣低收入戶的貧窮歷程。人文及社會科學集刊,11(4),529-561。new window  延伸查詢new window
8.王德睦、王仕圖、蔡勇美(20001000)。貧窮的動態:嘉義縣貧戶的追蹤研究。人口學刊,21,61-75。new window  延伸查詢new window
9.楊家偉(1977)。臺灣省貧窮問題之成因與減輕策略之研究。臺灣銀行季刊,28(1),158-200。new window  延伸查詢new window
10.Harris, Kathleen Mullan(1993)。Work and Welfare among Single Mothers in Poverty。American Journal of Sociology,99(2),317-352。  new window
11.Harris, Kathleen Mullan(1996)。Life after Welfare: Women, Work, and Repeat Dependency。American Sociological Review,61,407-426。  new window
12.Plotnick, Robert D.(1983)。Turnover in the AFDC population: An Event History Analysis。The Journal of Human Resources,18(1),65-81。  new window
13.Rein, Martin、Rainwater, Lee(1978)。Patterns of Welfare Use。Social Service Review,52(4),511-534。  new window
14.Hutchens, Robert(1981)。Entry and exit transitions in a government transfer program: the case of aid to families with dependent children。The Journal of Human Resources,16(2),217-237。  new window
研究報告
1.王德睦、蔡勇美、國立中正大學社會福利研究所[執行](1998)。貧窮的動態分析:嘉義縣貧戶的追蹤研究 (計畫編號:NSC 87-2412-H194-003)。  延伸查詢new window
2.蔡勇美、王德睦、呂朝賢、Wang, Shih-Twu、Su, Shu-Jen(1997)。Into and Out of Poverty: A Panel Study from Taiwan。0。  new window
3.Cook, Steven T.、Sandefur, Gary D.(1997)。Duration of Public Assistance Receipt: Is Welfare a Trap?。0。  new window
4.Weeks, Greg(1991)。Leaving Public Assistance in Washington State。0。  new window
學位論文
1.孫康華(1998)。嘉義縣貧戶比例轉機模式分析(1989年至1996年)(碩士論文)。國立中正大學。  延伸查詢new window
2.蘇淑貞(1997)。貧窮的歷程--以嘉義縣低收入戶為例(碩士論文)。國立中正大學。  延伸查詢new window
3.呂朝賢(1998)。臺灣的貧窮問題(博士論文)。國立中正大學。new window  延伸查詢new window
4.Pavetti, LaDonna(1993)。The Dynamics of Welfare and Work: Exploring the Process by Which Women Work Their Way Off Welfare,0。  new window
圖書
1.Duncan, Greg J.、Coe, Richard D.、Hill, Martha S.(1984)。Years of Poverty, Years of Plenty: The Changing Economic Fortunes of American Workers and Families。Years of Poverty, Years of Plenty: The Changing Economic Fortunes of American Workers and Families。Ann Arbor, MI:University of Michigan, Institute of Social Research。  new window
2.Levy, F.(1977)。How big is the American Underclass?。Washington, DC:Urban Institute。  new window
3.Devine, Joel A.、Wright, James D.(1993)。The Greatest of Evils: Urban Poverty and the American Underclass。New York, NY:Walter de Gruyter, Inc.。  new window
4.Allison, Paul D.(1995)。Survival analysis using the SAS system: a practical guide。Cary, North Carolina:Statistical Analysis System Institution。  new window
5.Bane, Mary Jo、Ellwood, David T.(1994)。Welfare Realities: From Rhetoric to Reform。Harvard University Press。  new window
6.Allison, Paul D.(1984)。Event History Analysis: Regression For Longitudinal Event Data。Sage Publications。  new window
7.張清富(1993)。臺灣省貧窮趨勢與致貧因素之研究。臺北市:豪峰出版社。  延伸查詢new window
8.Ruggles, Patricia(1990)。Drawing the Line: Alternative Poverty Measures and Their Implications for Public Policy。Washington, DC:The Urban Institute Press。  new window
9.蔡明璋(19960000)。臺灣的貧窮:下層階級的結構分析。臺北:巨流圖書公司。new window  延伸查詢new window
10.朱雲鵬(1987)。貧窮問題之探討:臺灣地區資料之因素分解研究。貧窮問題之探討:臺灣地區資料之因素分解研究。臺北市。  延伸查詢new window
11.Coe, Richard D.(1978)。Dependency and Poverty in the Short and Long Run。Five Thousand American Families: Patterns of Economic Progress。Ann Arbor, MI。  new window
12.Gritz, R. Mark、MaCurdy, Thomas(1991)。Patterns of Welfare Utilization and Multiple Program Participation among Young Women。Patterns of Welfare Utilization and Multiple Program Participation among Young Women。Stanford, CA。  new window
其他
1.Rank, M. R.(1984)。The Dynamics of Welfare Utilization: A Longitudinal Analysis of Households Receiving Public Assistance,Michigan。  new window
 
 
 
 
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