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題名:SNTV選制下「立法委員連任勝選幅度模型」建立之嘗試--以第四屆區域立委為例
書刊名:臺灣民主季刊
作者:吳宜侃
作者(外文):Wu, I-kan
出版日期:2005
卷期:2:2
頁次:頁71-99
主題關鍵詞:SNTV選制立法委員連任連任勝選幅度模型SNTV systemLegislatorReelectionReelection magnitude model
原始連結:連回原系統網址new window
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  • 被引用次數被引用次數:期刊(1) 博士論文(0) 專書(0) 專書論文(0)
  • 排除自我引用排除自我引用:1
  • 共同引用共同引用:84
  • 點閱點閱:80
立法委員連任分析對國會制度化的研究,意義重大。但國內關於立法委員之連任分析研究,多仍僅停留在個案分析的階段,無法做一整體的模型建構,而原因在於SNTV選制中選區規模大小不一,使得跨選區的立委比較研究難以進行,尤其是在得票數的分析上。本研究嘗試運用族普基數,將得票數計算轉化成為勝選幅度,使不同選區立委之得票數得以立於客觀基準進行比較,並嘗試以此建立立法委員連任勝選幅度迴歸模型。經由檢驗後,發現模型相當穩定,且詮釋力也頗佳。而本模型亦顯示,政黨因素與個人表現因素兩者,同時為影響立法委員連任勝選幅度表現的關鍵因素。
The study of legislators' reelection is very significant for the research of the institutionalization of the parliament. But domestic research about legislators' reelections remained in case studies and am aggregative model could not be built due to the different scales of districts. This makes comparing legislators from different districts difficult, especially with regards to vote-getting. This research attempts to use Droop quota to translate vote-getting into "reelection magnitude" in order to objectively compare the vote-getting of different legislators of different districts, and to build the regression model of their reelection. Through this examination, we find that the model is very stable and interpretive; meanwhile, the model reveals that both party and individual factors are critical in affecting fourth-term legislators' reelections in the fifth legislative election.
期刊論文
1.Carey, John M.、Shugart, Matthew Soberg(1995)。Incentives to Cultivate a Personal Vote: A Rank Ordering of Electoral Formulas。Electoral Studies,14(4),417-439。  new window
2.Cox, Gary W.、Niou, Emerson M. S.(1994)。Seat Bonuses Under the Single Nontransferable Vote System: Evidence From Japan and Taiwan。Comparative Politics,26(2),221-236。  new window
3.盛杏湲(20010900)。立法委員正式與非正式立法參與之研究:以第三屆立法院為例。問題與研究,40(5),81-104。new window  延伸查詢new window
4.Hall, Richard L.(1987)。Participation and Purpose in Committee Decision Making。The American Political Science Review,81(1),105-128。  new window
5.盛杏湲(19991100)。立法問政與選區服務:第三屆立法委員代表行為的探討。選舉研究,6(2),89-120。new window  延伸查詢new window
6.陳明通、朱雲漢(19920100)。區域性聯合獨占經濟、地方派系與省議員選舉:一項省議員候選人背景資料的分析。Proceedings of the National Science Council. Part C, Humanities and Social Sciences,2(1),77-97。  延伸查詢new window
7.Katz, Jonathan N.、Cox, Gary W.(1996)。Why Did the Incumbency Advantage in U.S. House Elections Grow?。American Journal of Political Science,40(2),478-497。  new window
8.Mayhew, D.(1974)。Congressional Elections: The Case of Vanishing Marginals。Polity,6(3),295-317。  new window
研究報告
1.何金銘(1997)。三屆立委區域選舉候選人勝選因素分析。臺北市。  延伸查詢new window
學位論文
1.蕭怡靖(2003)。我國立法委員選擇常設委員會之研究:以第四屆立法委員為例(碩士論文)。國立政治大學。  延伸查詢new window
2.李信達(1999)。區域發展與政黨競爭--台灣立法委員選舉之研究(1989~1995)(碩士論文)。國立政治大學。  延伸查詢new window
3.蔡佳泓(1996)。立法委員的選民服務之個案研究(碩士論文)。國立政治大學。  延伸查詢new window
4.陳昭凱(1997)。立法委員競選連任之個案分析,臺北市。  延伸查詢new window
圖書
1.Fenno, Richard F.(1978)。Home Style: House Members in Their Districts。Boston, MA:Little, Brown and Company。  new window
2.洪永泰、林瓊珠(2001)。2001年臺灣政治紀實。臺北市:韋伯文化事業出版社。  延伸查詢new window
3.Fiorina, Morris P.(1989)。Congress: Keystone of the Washington Establishment。Yale University Press。  new window
4.王業立(1996)。我國選舉制度的政治影響。臺北:五南圖書出版公司。new window  延伸查詢new window
5.Ramseyer, J. Mark、Rosenbluth, Frances McCall(1993)。Japan's Political Marketplace。Cambridge, Massachusetts:Harvard University Press。  new window
6.黃秀端(19940000)。選區服務:立法委員心目中連任之基礎。臺北:唐山。new window  延伸查詢new window
7.Cox, Gary W.、McCubbins, Matthew D.(1993)。Legislative Leviathan。CA:University of California。  new window
8.Mayhew, David R.(2004)。Congress: The Electoral Connection。Yale University Press。  new window
9.Polsby, Nelson W.(1968)。The Institutionalization of the U.S. House of Representatives。Congress。Cambridge。  new window
10.Cox, Gary W.、Rosenbluth, Frances M.(1995)。The Structural Determinants of Electoral Cohesiveness: England, Japan, and the United States。Structure and Policy in Japan and the United States。Cambridge。  new window
11.Davidson, Roger H.(1985)。Congress and Its Members。Congress and Its Members。Washington, DC。  new window
其他
1.(2001)。中華民國臺閩地區人口統計,民國八十九年,臺北市。  延伸查詢new window
2.盛杏湲(2001)。「第四屆立法委員的代表行為」調查研究計劃,0。  延伸查詢new window
3.國立政治大學選舉研究中心(2001)。第五屆立法委員選舉概況表,0。  延伸查詢new window
圖書論文
1.Landé, Carl H.(1977)。Introduction: The Dyadic Basis of Clientelism。Friends, Followers, and Factions: A Reader in Political Clientelism。University of California Press。  new window
 
 
 
 
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