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題名:保留工資水準、地區失業率對長期失業有解釋力嗎?
書刊名:靜宜人文社會學報
作者:李易駿 引用關係
作者(外文):Lee, Yih-jiunn
出版日期:2014
卷期:8:1
頁次:頁211-264
主題關鍵詞:長期失業保留工資失業率人力運用調查Long term unemployemntReservation wageUnemployment rateManpower survey
原始連結:連回原系統網址new window
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本研究關心於台灣日益嚴重的長期失業現象,特別關注影響人們成為長期失業者的可能因素。研究使用行政院主計處的「人力運用調查」資料庫,除檢定長期失業者的人口及就業特質外,並結合納入地區失業率、保留工資等變項,進行結合結構變項與個人變項的變項檢定分析。經由對實證資料的分析,本研究發現,在2008年以前,年齡對人們成為長期失業者有穩定的解釋力。其次,失業原因及縣市失業率在部分年度對失業者的失業週數有解釋力,但並不穩定。又失業原因對人們是否是長期失業者的解釋力不強烈。另外,保留工資對於失業者的失業週數並沒有明顯的解釋力。在各變項對長期失業的解釋力不強烈且不穩定的情況下,跨年度的綜合性邏輯迴歸,亦未能獲得符合一般期待的統計水準。最後,研究者針對進行長期失業現象研究提出研究方法的討論及建議。
This research project study upon Taiwan’s long-term unemployment, The National Statistic Bureau’s ‘Manpower Survey’ database (2001-2009) was employed in this research.The variables including the characteristics of this target group, local unemployment rate and reservation wage were test and demonstrated. A combined analysis that including structure variable as local unemployment rate, demographics variables and personal exception as reservation wage were conduct. The findings are: 1.The local unemployment rate and the scale of long-term unemployment are slightly relative. 2. There are strong relation between age and long-term unemployed. 3. There are little relation between personal exception as reservation wage and long-term unemployed. 4. Even all possible variables were included in statistic model we don’t get strong explanation for long-term unemployed. Finally, there would be a dialogue between research findings and policy design.
期刊論文
1.李易駿(20120600)。臺灣長期失業者圖像與特徵之探討:以1997-2008年失業者特質為對照的分析。長榮大學學報,16(1),1-28。new window  延伸查詢new window
2.彭百崇(20100600)。以景氣長波宏觀當代臺灣的失業問題。台灣勞動評論,2(1),1-19。new window  延伸查詢new window
3.何金銘、陳淑玲、童冠燁(2006)。從人力資本與勞動市場區隔理論觀點探討非自願離職者再就業的決定因素:洛基對數線性分析。管理學報,23(1),61-75。new window  延伸查詢new window
4.曾敏傑、徐毅君(20051200)。勞動市場結構與失業現象的關聯。臺灣社會福利學刊,4(2),49-96。new window  延伸查詢new window
5.李易駿(20120900)。臺灣長期失業者重返勞動市場的就業障礙。香港社會科學學報,43,125-163。new window  延伸查詢new window
6.陶宏麟、李嘉宏(20060900)。保留工資、勞工個人特性與失業期間之關聯。經濟論文,34(3),325-353。new window  延伸查詢new window
7.楊嘉琳(20100600)。長期失業情勢分析。主計月刊,654,66-70。  延伸查詢new window
8.李健鴻(20090900)。社會排除風險與不穩定就業風險之間:臺灣長期失業者的尋職困境。政大勞動學報,25,57-114。new window  延伸查詢new window
9.羅德芬、洪嘉瑜(20050600)。景氣波動下的再就業機率。經濟論文叢刊,33(2),149-179。new window  延伸查詢new window
10.林季平(20050600)。臺灣的人口遷徙及勞工流動問題回顧:1980-2000。臺灣社會學刊,34,147-209。new window  延伸查詢new window
11.王永慈(20041200)。失業家庭的經濟生活分析--以臺灣兩次失業潮為例。社會政策與社會工作學刊,8(2),159-192。new window  延伸查詢new window
12.Lindsay, C.(2002)。Long-term Unemployment and the ‘Employability Gap’, Priority for Renewing Britain’s New Deal。Journal of European Industrial Training,26(9),411-419。  new window
13.Alhawarin, I.、Kreishan, F.(2010)。An Analysis of Long Term Unemployment (LTU) in Jordan Labor Market。European Journal of Social Sciences,15(1),56-66。  new window
會議論文
1.鄭凱方、王素彎、吳惠林(2001)。開辦勞工保險失業給付對非自願性失業者失業期間之影響。台灣經濟學會2001年年會。  延伸查詢new window
2.Erola, Jani、Moisio, Pasi(2002)。Social Mobility and Long-term Unemployment in Post-Industrialized Finland: A Simple Solution for ‘Death of Class’ Arguments?。ISA RC28 Spring Meeting。Oxford:Nuffield College。11-13。  new window
研究報告
1.黃幼宜(2008)。技術差異、多國籍廠商與貿易:再檢視城鄉失業模型研究成果報告。  延伸查詢new window
2.Kosonen, P.、Moisio, P.(1999)。Comparing Long-Term Unemployment, Secondary Labour Markets and Household。  new window
3.Tasci, H. M.、Ozdemir, A. R.(2006)。Trends in Long-Term Unemployment and Determinants of Incidence of Long-Term Unemployment in Turkey。  new window
4.Thomsen, S. L.(2008)。Explaining the Employability Gap of Short-Term and Long-Term Unemployed Persons。  new window
圖書
1.Clasen, J.、Gould, A.、Vincent, J.(1998)。Voices Within and Without: Responses to Long-term Unemployment in German, Sweden and Britain。London:Policy Press。  new window
2.OECD(1995)。OECD in figures。Paris:OECD Publisher。  new window
3.Benoît-Guilbot, O.、Gallie, D.(1994)。Long- Term Unemployment。New York:Pinter Publishers。  new window
4.Room, Graham、Berghman, J.、Vila Lopez, L.(1990)。“New Poverty” in the European community。Basingstoke, UK:St. Martin’s Press。  new window
5.Doeringer, Peter B.、Piore, Michael J.(1971)。Internal Labor Markets and Manpower Analysis。Lexington, MA:Health Lexington Books。  new window
6.Walsh, Kenneth(1987)。Long-Term Unemployment: An International Perspective。Macmillan Press Ltd.。  new window
其他
1.行政院主計處(2011)。人力資源統計年報,http://www.stat.gov.tw/ct.asp?xItem=18182&ctNode=518, 2012/11/10。  延伸查詢new window
2.Metcalf, H.,Anderson, T.,Rolfe, H.(2001)。Barriers to Employment for Offenders and Ex-offenders",National Institute of Economic and Social Research in Behalf of the Department for Work and Pension,http://www.dwp.gov.uk/asd/asd5/rrep155.pdf, 2012/11/10。  new window
3.Aaronson, D.,Mazumder, B.,Schechter, S.(2010)。What Is Behind the Rise in Long-Term Unemployment? Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago,http://www4.fe.uc.pt/jasa/m_i_2010_2011/whatisbehindtheriseinlongtermunemployment.pdf。  new window
4.Goldstone, Carol(2002)。Barriers to Employment for Disabled People,http://www.dwp.gov.uk/asd/asd5/IH95.pdf。  new window
5.Machin, S.,Manning A.(1998)。The Causes and Consequences of Long-Term Unemployment in Europe,http://eprints.lse.ac.uk/20255/1/The_Causes_and_Consequences_of_Long-Term_Unemployment_in_Europe.pdf。  new window
6.Begum, N.(2004)。Characteristics of the Short Term and Long Term Unemployed,http://www.statistics.gov.uk/articles/labour_market_trends/unemp_in_brief.pdf, 2012/11/10。  new window
圖書論文
1.Cartmel, Fred(2004)。The Labour market Inclusion and Exclusion of Young People in Rural Labour Markets in Scotland。Young People, Risk and Leisure: Constructing Identities in Everyday Life。New York:Palgrave Publishers。  new window
2.Bernardi, F.、Layte, R.、Schizzerotto, A.、Jacobs, S.(2000)。Who Exits Unemployment? Institutional Features, Individual Characteristics, and Chances of Getting a Job: A Comparison of Britain and Italy。Welfare Regimes and the Experience of Unemployment in Europe。Oxford:Oxford。  new window
3.Deacon, Alan(2003)。Employment。The Student’s Companion to Social Policy。London:Blackwell Publishing。  new window
4.Green, A.、Gregg, P.、Wadsworth, J.(1998)。Regional Unemployment Changes in Britain。Unemployment and Social Exclusion: Landscapes of Labour Inequality。London:Jessica Kingsley Publishers。  new window
5.Russell, H.、Barbieri, P.(2000)。Gender and Experience of Unemployment。Welfare Regimes and the Experience of Unemployment in Europe。Oxford:Oxford University。  new window
6.White, M.、Smith, D.(1994)。The Causes of Persistently High Unemployment。Youth Unemployment and Society。Oxford:Oxford University。  new window
7.Barbieri, P.、Paugam, S.、Russell, H.(2000)。Social Capital and Exits from Unemployment。Welfare Regimes and the Experience of Unemployment in Europe。Oxford:Oxford University。  new window
8.McIntosh, S.(2004)。Skill and Unemployment。Resisting Marginalization: Unemployment Experience and Social Policy in the European Union。Oxford:Oxford University。  new window
 
 
 
 
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