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題名：愛恨ECFA：兩岸貿易與臺灣的階級政治
書刊名：思與言
作者：林宗弘／胡克威
作者(外文)：Lin, Thung-hong／Hu, Alfred Ko-we
出版日期：2011
卷期：49:3
頁次：頁95-134
主題關鍵詞：社會階層化；階級政治；選舉；投票行為；臺灣；貿易；兩岸關係；Social stratification；Class politics；Election；Voting behavior；Trade；Taiwan；Cross-strait relationship
原始連結：連回原系統網址new window
相關次數：
  • 被引用次數被引用次數:期刊(21) 博士論文(3) 專書(1) 專書論文(1)
  • 排除自我引用排除自我引用:15
  • 共同引用共同引用:378
  • 點閱點閱:368
兩岸經貿談判已經引起臺灣政壇的重大爭議與社會衝突。以兩岸經濟合作協議（Economic Cooperation Framework Agreement，簡稱ECFA）為例，本文發現臺灣各階級民眾對海峽兩岸經貿利益分配的認知大不相同。根據中央研究院二○一○年第一次社會意向調查資料庫的分析，我們發現：（1）臺灣各階級民眾之間對ECFA意見分歧，中下階級認為兩岸經貿關係擴大將使貧富差距惡化，因而反對ECFA，資方與管理階層則認為兩岸經貿關係擴大將使經濟成長，因而支持ECFA，（2）對兩岸經貿往來的認知影響了臺灣各階級選民的政治行為，認為兩岸經貿有益於臺灣經濟者－多數是資方與中產管理階級，傾向國民黨代表他們的階級利益；認為兩岸經貿將導致貧富差距惡化者－主要是工農與中下階級，傾向民進黨代表他們的階級利益；最近幾次選舉的結果，似乎可以看出臺灣選民的投票行為，已經受到民眾對兩岸貿易與階級利益分配認知的影響。
Economic Cooperation Framework Agreement (ECFA), a cross strait trade agreement has irritated political debates and social discontents in Taiwan. In this article we investigate the class politics of trade and its impact on the political behavior of Taiwanese voters. According to a national survey of 2010, which asked 1,242 Taiwanese adults about their opinions of the trade agreement, we found that social class shaped people's expectation and preference of trade, which influenced their voting behavior. The members of working class and self employed opposed the agreement because they expected that the expending cross-strait trade will deteriorate income inequality. In contrast, the capitalists and managers supported the agreement because they expected that the expending trade with China will improve economic performance of Taiwan. The different expectations of ECFA impacts connected with the voting behavior - the ECFA supporters, mostly capitalists and managers, preferred to sustain the pan-blue camp; while the ECFA opposition, mostly the working class and self-employed, preferred to support the pan-green camp. The results displayed that the c1ass voting and trade coalition matter in the recent elections in Taiwan.
期刊論文
1.Gourevitch, Peter A.(1978)。The Second Image Reversed: International Sources of Domestic Politics。International Organization，32(4)，881-912。  new window
2.何明修(20031200)。工廠內的階級團結：連結石化工人的工作現場與集體行動。臺灣社會學，6，1-59。new window  延伸查詢new window
3.Yang, David D.(2007)。Classing Ethnicity: Class, Ethnicity, and the Mass Politics of Taiwan's Democratic Transition。World Politics，59(4)，503-538。  new window
4.Lake, David A.(2009)。Open Economy Politics: a Critical Review。The Review of International Organizations，4(3)，219-244。  new window
5.王甫昌(20080600)。族群政治議題在臺灣民主化轉型中的角色。臺灣民主季刊，5(2)，89-140。new window  延伸查詢new window
6.林宗弘(20091200)。臺灣的後工業化：階級結構的轉型與社會不平等，1992-2007。臺灣社會學刊，43，93-158。new window  延伸查詢new window
7.吳重禮、崔曉倩(20101200)。族群、賦權與選舉評價--2004年與2008年總統選舉省籍差異的實證分析。臺灣民主季刊，7(4)，137-182。new window  延伸查詢new window
8.吳乃德(19971200)。檳榔和拖鞋，西裝及皮鞋：臺灣階級流動的族群差異及原因。臺灣社會學研究，1，137-167。new window  延伸查詢new window
9.王甫昌(19960700)。臺灣反對運動的共識動員：一九七九至一九八九年兩次挑戰高峰的比較。臺灣政治學刊，1，129-209。new window  延伸查詢new window
10.Putnam, Robert David(1988)。Diplomacy and Domestic Politics: The Logic of Two-Level Games。International Organization，42(3)，427-460。  new window
11.Chang, Chin-fen、Chang, Heng-hao(2010)。Who Cares for Unions? Public Attitudes toward Union Power in Taiwan, 1990-2005。China Perspectives，3，64-78。  new window
12.Domañski, Henryk(2008)。A New Dimension of Social Stratification in Poland? Class Membership and Electoral Voting in 1991-2001。European Sociological Review，24(2)，169-182。  new window
13.Hout, Michael.、Brooks, C.、Manza, J.(1995)。The Democratic Class Struggle in the United States, 1948-1992。American Sociological Review，60，805-828。  new window
14.Milner, Helen V.、Judkins, Benjamin(2004)。Partisanship, Trade Poll and Globalization: Is There a Left-Right Divide on Trade Policy?。International Studies Quarterly，48(1)，95-119。  new window
15.Clark, Terry Nicholas、Lipset, Seymour Martin(1991)。Are Social Classes Dying?。International Sociology，6，397-410。  new window
16.Clark, Terry Nicholas、Lipset, Seymour Martin、Rempel, Mike(1993)。The Declining Political Significance of Social Class。International Sociology，8，293-316。  new window
17.De Graaf、Dirk, Nan、Nieuwbeerta, Paul、Heath, Anthony(1995)。Class Mobility and Political Preferences: Individual & Contextual Effects。The American Journal of Sociology，100，997-1027。  new window
會議論文
1.胡克威、林宗弘、黃善國(2010)。階級政治的復興？臺灣的民主轉型與階級投票，1992-2004。2010年度臺灣社會學會研討會，輔仁大學 (會議日期: 2009/12/04-12/05)。臺北：輔仁大學。  延伸查詢new window
2.Lin, Thung-hong(2007)。Globalization versus Classes: Class Structure and Income Inequality in Hong Kong, 1991-2006。  new window
圖書
1.Wood, Adrian(1994)。North-South Trade, Employment and Inequality: Changing Fortunes in a Skill-Driven World。Oxford University Press。  new window
2.Wright, Erik Olin(1985)。Classes。New York, NY：New Left Books。  new window
3.Rueschemeyer, Dietrich、Stevens, Evelyne Huber、Stephens, John D.(1992)。Capitalist Development and Democracy。Chicago：Cambridge：University of Chicago Press：Polity。  new window
4.Erikson, Robert、Goldthorpe, John H.(1992)。The Constant Flux: A Study of Class Mobility in Industrial Societies。Oxford：Clarendon Press。  new window
5.Wright, Erik Olin(1997)。Class Counts: Camparative Studies in Class Analysis。Cambridge：Cambridge University Press。  new window
6.Atkinson, Anthony B.(2008)。The Changing Distribution of Earnings in OECD Countries。New York：Oxford University Press。  new window
7.O'Donnell, Guillermo、Schmitter, Philippe(1987)。Transitions from Authoritarian Rule: Tentative Conclusions about Uncertain Democracies。Baltimore, MD：Johns Hopkins University Press。  new window
8.Blau, Peter Michael、Duncan, Otis Dudley(1967)。The American Occupational Structure。New York：John Wiley & Sons, Inc.。  new window
9.許嘉猷(1994)。階級結構與階級意識比較研究論文集。中央研究院歐美研究所。  延伸查詢new window
10.Evans, Peter B.、Jacobson, Harold K.、Putnam, Robert D.(1993)。Double-Edged Diplomacy: International Bargaining and Domestic Politics。University of California Press。  new window
11.Milner, Helen V.(1997)。Interests, Institutions, and Information: Domestic Politics and International Relations。Princeton University Press。  new window
12.Huntington, Samuel Phillips(1991)。The Third Wave: Democratization in the Late Twentieth Century。University of Oklahoma Press。  new window
13.張茂桂(1993)。族群關係和國家認同。臺北。  延伸查詢new window
14.Hiscox, Michael J.(2002)。International Trade and Political Conflict: Commerce, Coalitions, and Mobility。Princeton, NJ：Princeton University Press。  new window
15.Rogowski, Ronald(1989)。Commerce and Coalition: How Trade Affects Domextic Political Alignments。Princeton. NJ。  new window
16.邱毓斌(2011)。自主工運組織策略的歷史侷限。社會運動的年代：晚近二十年來的臺灣行動主義。臺北。  延伸查詢new window
17.Evans, Geoffrey(1999)。Class Voting: From Premature Obituary to Reasoned Appraisal。The End of Class Politics?: Class Voting in Comparative Context。Oxford。  new window
18.Wu, Nai-Teh(1996)。Class Identity without Class Consciousness?:-- Working Class Consciousness in Taiwan。Putting Class in Its Place: Worker Identity in East Asia。Berkeley。  new window
其他
1.行政院大陸委員會(2011)。臺灣對中國大陸貿易占我外貿之比重，http://www.mac.gov.tw/public/Attachment/12149433186.pdf， 20110226。  延伸查詢new window
2.兩岸經濟合作委員會(2011)。ECFA兩岸經濟合作架構協議，http://www.ecfa.org.tw/， 20110225。  延伸查詢new window
3.傅仰止，伊慶春(1998)。中央研究院社會學研究所規劃式集體合作計畫書：社會意向調查，http://www.ios.sinica.edu.tw/si/index2.php?p=t2， 20110226。  延伸查詢new window
4.中央研究院社會學研究所社會意向電話調查(2010)。二○一○年第一波《臺灣社會意向調查》資料庫，http://ww.ios.sinica.edu.tw/si/index2.php?p=t6。  延伸查詢new window
圖書論文
1.吳乃德(1993)。省籍意識、政治支持和國家認同--臺灣族群政治理論的初探。族群關係與國家認同。臺北：業強。new window  延伸查詢new window
2.蘇國賢(2008)。臺灣的所得分配與社會流動之長期趨勢。跨戒：流動與堅持的臺灣社會。臺北：群學。  延伸查詢new window
3.張茂桂(1994)。臺灣的族群、階級以及覺察之不平等。發展與不平等：大陸與台灣之社會階層與流動。香港：中文大學亞太研究所。  延伸查詢new window
4.Hout, Michael(2008)。How Class Works in Popular Conception: Most Americans Identify with the Class Their Income, Occupation, and Education Implies for Them。Social Class: How Does It Work?。New York：Russell Sage Foundation。  new window
 
 
 
 
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