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題名:如何看待ECFA簽訂的戰略利益:區域經濟分工轉型下的政治經濟分析
書刊名:思與言
作者:蔡宏政
作者(外文):Tsai, Hung-jeng
出版日期:2011
卷期:49:3
頁次:頁135-165
主題關鍵詞:全球化東亞區域性美元循環ECFAEast Asian open regionalismRegional transformationUS hegemony
原始連結:連回原系統網址new window
相關次數:
  • 被引用次數被引用次數:期刊(2) 博士論文(1) 專書(0) 專書論文(1)
  • 排除自我引用排除自我引用:1
  • 共同引用共同引用:229
  • 點閱點閱:93
臺灣朝野對EFCA的爭論。從國際間的自由貿易、對中貿易依賴、關稅減讓項目與時程、產業轉型與相關的失業輔導救濟、乃至於GTAP等貿易模型設算問題等等,正反雙方對立,幾無共識可言。本文論證,把ECFA定義為「純經濟」議題、甚至於再縮小為自由貿易議題,會產生一種誤導性的迷思。「全球化」、「區域化」或「貿易自由化」都是在一定的國際政治與社會結構中,由一連串各國政府互動下的歷史產物,經常反映的是強權國家的利益折衝與計算。臺灣在這種國際政治經濟變動格局中,需要先確定自己的戰略性利益何在,才能有更細部的關稅減讓項目與時程、產業轉型與相關失業輔導與救濟等具體的方案設計。目前東亞區域主義是在開放式與封閉式之間的光譜上移動,牽涉到東亞強權之間的角力變化。本文建議,臺灣的基本戰略利益應該是在強權主導的局勢變化中維持戰略平衡。
This article analyzes Taiwan's strategic position by signing ECFA in terms of international political economy. We first argue that the core of the East Asian open regionalism after WWII was the US-Japan security treaty and flying geese production networks. Both of them worked together to support the US hegemony in East Asia. However, flying geese system was transformed and ex tended to include China after the 1980s due to the US financial regulation, new division of labor due to technological innovation, and Chinese economic reform. As globalization in this region was set back by the East Asian financial crisis in 1997 and failure of Doha round of the WTO negotiation, ASEAN plus one emerged as a new model for economic regionalization, in which China 's influence was weighted and created Taiwan's ECFA issue. Nevertheless, The US hegemony, which stands for open East Asia n regionalism, still holds a firm regional leadership and therefore counter-balances a closed East Asian economic regionalization. We argue that Taiwan should keep a subtle balance in this regional transformation and measure its own strategic position by four criteria, that is, regional military change, international financial standard, global final market, and technological leadership.
期刊論文
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3.王振寰(19890300)。臺灣的政治轉型與反對運動。臺灣社會研究季刊,2(1),71-116。new window  延伸查詢new window
會議論文
1.洪德生(2009)。兩岸共同參與東亞區域經濟合作的可行性及途徑。上海。  延伸查詢new window
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圖書
1.謝孟玹等(2006)。半導體工業年鑑。新竹:工業技術研究院產業經濟與資訊服務中心。  延伸查詢new window
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13.顧瑩華(2010)。區域整合論壇研究--東亞區域經濟整合之研究。臺北。  延伸查詢new window
14.拓樸產業研究所(2006)。引領全球IC產業目光的中國新勢力。臺北:拓樸科技。  延伸查詢new window
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18.蔡懿倫(2009)。東亞區域整合的經濟基礎。東亞經濟整合趨勢。臺北。  延伸查詢new window
19.Borrus, Michael(2000)。The Resurgence of US electronics: Asian Production Networks & the Rise of Wintelism。International Production Networks in Asia: Rivalry or Riches。New York。  new window
其他
1.中國國家統計局(2010)。中國統計年鑑1996-2010,http://www.stats.gov.cn/tjsj/ndsj/2010/indexch.htm, 20110513。  延伸查詢new window
2.張欽(2011)。EVD是否會步SVCD後塵,http://www.people.com.cn/BIG5/it/1065/2293764.html, 20111214。  new window
3.胡明揚(2008)。馬提CECA2對岸首度善意回應。  延伸查詢new window
4.Asian Development Bank(2008)。Emerging Asian Regionalism: A Partnership for Shared Prosperity,http://www.adb.org/Documents/Books/Emerging-Asian-Regionalism/final-report.pdf, 20100311。  new window
5.Fergusson, Ian F.,Vaughn, Bruce(2009)。The Trans-Pacific Strategic Economic Partnership Agreement,http://www.sice.oas.org/TPD/TPP/Studies/USCongress2009_e.pdf, 20110518。  new window
6.International Monetary Fund(2011)。Washington D.C.: IMF Statistics Department,http://www.imf.org/external/index.htm, 20110513。  new window
7.Ministry of Foreign Affairs of Japan(2010)。The Guidelines for Japan-U.S. Defense Cooperation,http://www.mofa.go.jp/region/n-america/us/security/guideline2.html, 20101121。  new window
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圖書論文
1.Cumings, Bruce(1987)。The Origins of Development of the Northeast Asian Political Economy: Industrial Sectors, Product Cycles, and Political Consequence。The Political Economy of the New Asian Industrialism。Ithaca:Cornell University Press。  new window
2.Katzenstein, Peter(1997)。Introduction: Asian Regionalism in Comparative Perspective。Network Power: Japan and Asia。Ithaca:Cornell University Press。  new window
3.Selden, Mark(1997)。China, Japan, and the Regional Political Economy of East Asia, 1945-1995。Network Power: Japan and Asia。Ithaca:Cornell University Press。  new window
4.Gold, Thomas B.(1988)。Entrepreneurs, Multinationals, and the State。Contending Approaches to the Political Economy of Taiwan。Armonk, New York:M. E. Sharpe, Inc.。  new window
 
 
 
 
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