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題名：Rethinking the Rogowski Model: Taiwan's Trade Policy and Domestic Political Alignment 1996~2008
書刊名：國家發展研究
作者：賴文儀 引用關係
作者(外文)：Lai, Mark W.
出版日期：2015
卷期：15:1
頁次：頁95-137
主題關鍵詞：羅哥斯基模式；兩岸經濟合作架構協議；兩岸關係；貿易政策；Rogowski model；ECFA；Cross-Strait relations；Trade policy
原始連結：連回原系統網址new window
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  • 被引用次數被引用次數:期刊(0) 博士論文(0) 專書(0) 專書論文(0)
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  • 共同引用共同引用:96
  • 點閱點閱:81
2008國民黨執政之後，兩岸政治經濟關係獲得長足發展，2010年簽訂兩岸經濟合作架構協議之後，代表了兩岸在政經合作上的里程碑。然而，在之後不斷的學界辯論、反對黨杯葛以及街頭抗議之中，我們亟需重新審視國家貿易政策與國內政治結盟之間的複雜關係，以釐清經濟政策是否得以實施、是否產生正向效果的假設。本文章以實證方法分析經濟自由化對於國內政治結盟產生的影響，經過一連串的統計方法檢證之後，本研究提供對於後續台灣貿易政策的建議，並且討論國內政治結盟對於貿易政策制定的關鍵地位，全文主要論點為，若是貿易政策無法妥善處理因為自由化而受害的經濟族群，則其政治阻力將超越經濟考量，狀似不合理，其實是政經互動的必然現象。
The political economic relationship between Taiwan and China moved in a positive direction after the KMT returned to power in 2008. The launching of the Economic Cooperation Framework Agreement (ECFA) in September 2010 symbolized the prospect of economic and political reconciliation across the Taiwan Strait. Several years later, in light of the scholarly debate and waves of street protests by the opposition party and dissenters, it has become apparent that scholars ought to reexamine the validity of Rogowski's model of trade policy and domestic political alignment, specifically with regard to its ability to explain the transformation of cross-strait political and economic interaction. This study conducts an empirical analysis of the effects of economic liberalization on domestic political alignments and offers some hypotheses using updated data for testing. Highlighting certain policy implications with regard to disputes surrounding the ECFA issue, the study provides a new perspective for explaining cross-strait economic interaction and its implications for domestic politics.
期刊論文
1.王鼎銘(20011100)。The Impacts of Policy Issues on Voting Behavior in Taiwan: A Mixed Logit Approach。選舉研究，8(2)，95-123。new window  new window
2.Frieden, Jeffry A.(1991)。Invested Interests: The Politics of National Economic Policies in a World of Global Finance。International Organization，45(4)，425-451。  new window
3.李佩珊、徐永明(20020600)。Southern Politics? Regional Trajectories of Party Development in Taiwan。Issues & Studies，38(2)，61-84。new window  new window
4.Fordham, Benjamin O.、Mckeown, Timothy J.(2003)。Selection and Influence: Interest Groups and Congressional Voting on Trade Policy。International Organization，57(3)，519-549。  new window
5.吳重禮、嚴淑芬(2001)。我國大陸經貿政策的分析：論兩岸經貿互動對於台灣地區經濟發展之影響。中國行政評論，10(2)，135-166。new window  延伸查詢new window
6.Alesina, Alberto、Rodrik, Dani(1994)。Distributive Politics and Economic Growth。The Quarterly Journal of Economics，109(2)，465-490。  new window
7.Baker, Andy(2005)。Who Wants to Globalize? Consumer Tastes and Labor Markets in a Theory of Trade Policy Beliefs。American Journal of Political Science，49(4)，924-938。  new window
8.Brawley, Mark R.(1997)。Factoral or Sectoral Conflict? Partially Mobile Factors and the Politics of Trade in Imperial Germany。International Studies Quarterly，41(4)，640。  new window
9.Cheng, Su-Feng(2009)。Ethnicity, Identity, and Vote Choice in Taiwan。Journal of Electoral Studies，16(2)，23-49。  new window
10.Damore, David F.、Hansford, Thomas G.、Barghothi, A. J.(2010)。Explaining the Decision to Withdraw from a U.S. Presidential Nomination Campaign。Political Behavior，32(2)，157-180。  new window
11.Goff, Brian L.、Grier, Kevin B.(1993)。On the (Mis) Measurement of Legislator Ideology and Shirking。Public Choice，76(1/2)，5-20。  new window
12.Grossman, Gene(1983)。Partially Mobile Capital: A General Approach to Two-Sector Trade Theory。Journal of International Economics，15，1-17。  new window
13.Hiscox, Michael J.(2001)。Class versus Industry Cleavages: Inter-Industry Factor Mobility and the Politics of Trade。International Organization，55(1)，2。  new window
14.Jeong, Gyung-Ho(2009)。Constituent Influence on International Trade Policy in the United States。International Studies Quarterly，53，519-540。  new window
15.Ladewig, Jeffrey W.(2006)。Domestic Influences on International Trade Policy: actor Mobility in the United States, 1963 to 1992。International Organization，60(1)，69。  new window
16.Midford, Paul(1993)。International Trade and Domestic Politics: Improving on Rogowski's Model of Political Alignments。International Organization，47(4)，542-546。  new window
17.Ocampo, Jose Antonio(1998)。Trade Liberalisation in Developing Economies: Most Benefits but Problems with Productivity Growth, Macro Prices, and Income Distribution。The Economic Journal，108(450)，1523。  new window
18.Mancur, Olson Jr.(1996)。Distinguished Lecture on Economics in Government: Big Bills Left on the Sidewalk: Why Some Nations are Rich, and Others Poor。The Journal of Economic Perspectives，10(2)，3-24。  new window
19.Rankin, David M.(2001)。Identities, Interests, and Imports。Political Behavior，23(4)，351-376。  new window
20.Rogowski, Ronald(1987)。Trade and the Variety of Democratic Institutions。International Organization，41(2)，203-223。  new window
21.Samuelson, Paul A.(2004)。Where Ricardo and Mill Rebut and Confirm Arguments of Mainstream Economists。The Journal of Economic Perspectives，18(3)，135-146。  new window
22.Winters, Alan、McCulloch, Neil、McKay, Andrew(2004)。Trade Liberalization and Poverty: The Evidence so Far。Journal of Economic Literature，42(1)，72。  new window
23.魏艾(20100700)。ECFA與未來兩岸經貿互動關係。海峽評論，235，32-36。  延伸查詢new window
24.Rogowski, Ronald(1987)。Political Cleavages and Changing Exposure to Trade。The American Political Science Review，81(4)，1121-1137。  new window
25.Rudra, Nita(2002)。Globalization and the Decline of the Welfare State in Less-Developed Countries。International Organization，56(2)，411-445。  new window
26.Yang, C. C.(1995)。Endogenous Tariff Formation under Representative Democracy: A Probabilistic Voting Model。The American Economic Review，85(4)，956-963。  new window
27.吳重禮、嚴淑芬(19990700)。「戒急用忍」或「大膽西進」﹖我國對於大陸投資的影響因素評估。問題與研究，38(7)，43-62。new window  延伸查詢new window
28.耿曙、陳陸輝(20031100)。兩岸經貿互動與臺灣政治版圖：南北區塊差異的推手？。問題與研究，42(6)，1-27。new window  延伸查詢new window
學位論文
1.Lai, Wenyi M.(2006)。The economic and political sources of hostility: Taiwanese and Chinese relations, 1975 to 2004(博士論文)。State University of New York at Albany。  new window
圖書
1.Trubowitz, Peter(1998)。Defining the National Interest: Conflict and Change in American Foreign Policy。University of Chicago Press。  new window
2.Ellis, Howard S.(1949)。Readings in the Theory of International Tread。York, PA：The Blakiston Company。  new window
3.Corden, W. Max(1997)。Trade Policy and Economic Welfare。New York：Oxford University Press。  new window
4.Learner, Edward(1984)。Source of International Comparative Advantage: Theory and Evidence。Cambridge, Mass：MIT Press。  new window
5.Schattschneider, E. E.(1935)。Politics, Pressures, and the Tariff。Englewood Cliffs, N.J.：Prentice Hall。  new window
6.Rogowski, Ronald(1989)。Commerce and Coalitions: How Trade Affects Domestic Political Alignments。Princeton：Princeton University Press。  new window
7.Gourevitch, Peter Alexis(1986)。Politics in Hard Times: Comparative Responses to International Economic Crises。Cornell University Press。  new window
8.Long, J. Scott(1997)。Regression Models for Categorical and Limited Dependent Variables。Sage Publications。  new window
 
 
 
 
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