For a long time, people can not understand the so-called "immigrant paradise" of why the United States can not tolerate "illegal immigrants", especially from Mexico's neighbors? So when the presidential election year, the two party camps inevitably controversial deportation or amnesty policy line, exciting offense and defense will continue to appear in the news media in the United States each layout. On the Historical Institutional Perspective, subject of immigration issues are "people", the variable is "time", the so-called "We know the future from the past", via analysis of past event of time series, it is possible to handle the policy path dependence and future change. 2015, President Obama is promoting the "Dream Act" allows execution immigrants assimilate into American social policy quite frustrating year, New Orleans Fifth Circuit Court of Appeals ruling against Obama's executive orders Administrative Reform. 2016 coincides with the US presidential election, the purpose of this paper is that the use of historical institutional perspective analysis of the US government "to strengthen the expulsion of illegal immigrants Action" has not connected between the "election year"? Meets historical institutional theory "path dependence" concept? And predict its future tendency. This paper fond that the expulsion of illegal immigrants Action time series with the presidential election in quite match. After that, the 1960s is the path of consolidation period; 1970s is the decline period; But in 1981, the new path is "amnesty for illegal immigrants, local legalization". It was President Reagan responded positively to the new long-term domestic mainstream public opinion best of both worlds "anti-illegal immigration", but also established a policy fence "border control" as the amnesty route supporting measures. This boundary is like a wall, so that policies advocated amnesty voices never been able to cross with the formation of the election "accompanies effect" greatly narrow down the amnesty path-dependent development. Today President Obama consuming eight years to promote a "DREAM Act" fails, just to prove that "border control" for amnesty fence route path dependence limits the presidential election and expulsion route "accompanied effect" of the self-reinforcing effect, the system really is " choice " out, rather than being "design" out.