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題名:我國房地產價格波動對於創業活動的影響之研究
書刊名:臺灣經濟預測與政策
作者:李明軒 引用關係陳釗而 引用關係劉孟奇 引用關係
作者(外文):Lee, Ming-hsuanChen, Jau-erLio, Mon-chi
出版日期:2020
卷期:50:2
頁次:頁95-134
主題關鍵詞:房價房價所得比創業活動創業決策臺灣Housing pricesHousing-income ratioEntrepreneurial activitiesEntrepreneurial decisionsTaiwan
原始連結:連回原系統網址new window
相關次數:
  • 被引用次數被引用次數:期刊(0) 博士論文(0) 專書(0) 專書論文(0)
  • 排除自我引用排除自我引用:0
  • 共同引用共同引用:64
  • 點閱點閱:7
過去已累積大量的文獻探討房地產產業的擴張與經濟成長之間的關係,這些文獻普遍認為房地產產業提供了經濟成長重要的動能來源、可以刺激經濟活動。然而,晚近有學者開始批判快速上漲的房價可能成為負擔、改變一國的創業環境。為了進一步了解房價波動對於我國創業活動的影響,本研究分別利用我國2002至2015年的縣市追蹤資料、以及「華人家庭動態調查」之個人追蹤資料來進行實證研究,估計方法包括雙向固定效果模型、隨機效果模型、以及Logit模型。縣市追蹤資料的估計結果發現房價對於新增工商業活動、自營及雇主比例的淨影響皆偏負,代表當房價上升,創業活動與創業人口比例下降。個人追蹤資料的估計結果則發現房價對有房人群創業決策的淨影響偏正、對無房人群創業決策的淨影響則偏負、或不顯著,代表當房價上升時,有房人群選擇創業的機率上升,而無房人群選擇創業的機率或無變動、或下降,顯現經濟較弱勢的無房人群較無機會從房價變動中獲得改善經濟狀態的機會。
This study empirically examines the impact of housing prices on entrepreneurial activities in Taiwan. While previous studies focused on the positive impact of housing prices on economic growth, lately some scholars have started to point out the possible negative impact of high housing prices on entrepreneurial activities. We utilize a panel dataset consisting of 22 counties and cities in Taiwan from 2002 to 2015 as well as an individual-level longitudinal dataset, and examine the impact of housing prices on entrepreneurial activities in Taiwan. The empirical strategies include fixed effect models, random effect models, and logit models. The findings of this study provide evaluations of the impact of housing market activities on the economy from a different angle.
期刊論文
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15.李江一、李涵(2016)。住房對家庭創業的影響:來自CHFS的證據。中國經濟問題,295,53-67。  延伸查詢new window
16.李明軒(20161000)。我國房地產價格對於經濟機會不平等的影響之研究。臺灣經濟預測與政策,47(1),37-65。new window  延伸查詢new window
17.陳平、吳劍平、魏清泉(2008)。高房價對中國經濟社會的負面影響分析。商場現代化,10(532),267-268。  延伸查詢new window
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29.李明軒(20180900)。The Impact of Housing Market Activities on the Inequality of Economic Opportunities in China。中國大陸研究,61(3),87-116。new window  new window
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34.Green, Richard K.(1997)。Follow the Leader: How Changes in Residential and Non-Residential Investment Predict Changes in GDP。Real Estate Economics,25(2),253-270。  new window
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會議論文
1.劉常勇、溫肇東、謝如梅(2011)。臺灣創業現況調查與政策意涵:全球創業觀察觀點。2011第14屆科際整合管理研討會,東吳大學主辦 。臺北市:東吳大學企業管理學系。470-483。  延伸查詢new window
研究報告
1.Dhonte, P.、Bhattacharya, R.、Yousef, T.(2000)。Demographic Transition in the Middle East-Implications for Growth, Employment, and Housing。  new window
2.Haurin, D. R.、Rosenthal, S. S.(2006)。House Price Appreciation, Savings, and Consumer Expenditures。The Ohio State University。  new window
3.Papadimitriou, D. B.、Hannsgen, G.、Zezza, G.(2007)。The Effects of a Declining Housing Market on the U.S. Economy。  new window
學位論文
1.張金山(1991)。創業行為與成就動機、家族背景之相關性研究(碩士論文)。國立臺灣大學。  延伸查詢new window
圖書
1.朱延智(2009)。創業管理。鼎茂圖書出版股份有限公司。  延伸查詢new window
2.Barringer, B. R.、Ireland, R. D.(2016)。Entrepreneurship: Successfully Launching New Ventures。Upper Saddle River, NJ:Prentice Hall。  new window
3.Dollinger, M. J.(2008)。Entrepreneurship: Strategies and Resources。Lombard, IL:Marsh Publications。  new window
4.Kurtzman, J.、Rifkin, G.(2005)。Startups That Work: The 10 Critical Factors That Will Make or Break a New Company。London:Portfolio Publications。  new window
圖書論文
1.Ahuja, S.(2004)。Housing--Engine of Economic Growth。Housing Finance in India。Hyderabad:IGFAI University Press。  new window
 
 
 
 
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