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題名:誰是政黨認同者與獨立選民?--以二○○一年臺灣地區選民政黨認同的決定因素為例
書刊名:政治科學論叢
作者:吳重禮 引用關係許文賓
作者(外文):Wu, Chung-liHsu, Wen-pin
出版日期:2003
卷期:18
頁次:頁101-140
主題關鍵詞:政黨認同獨立選民政治態度投票行為Party identificationIndependent voterPolitical attitudeVoting behavior
原始連結:連回原系統網址new window
相關次數:
  • 被引用次數被引用次數:期刊(59) 博士論文(4) 專書(3) 專書論文(2)
  • 排除自我引用排除自我引用:53
  • 共同引用共同引用:515
  • 點閱點閱:127
     在各類政治態度中,政黨認同係一項甚為重要的心理成分,其不僅是左右選民投票抉擇的關鍵因素,而且對於政黨體系的穩定與否影響甚鉅。鑑此,本文回顧相關研究文獻,扼要簡述政黨認同的四項爭議,其分別是:其一,政黨認同的概念意涵;其二,政黨認同的測量;其三,政黨認同與政治行為之間的關係;其四,政黨認同者與獨立選民之基本特質的差異。本文嘗試以臺灣地區政黨認同者與獨立選民的差異為研究核心,鋪陳理論架構,並藉由「2001年臺灣選舉與民主化調查研究:民國九十年立法委員選舉全國大型民意調查研究」資料,針對受訪個人社會特徵與相關政治態度,進行「雙變數交叉分析」,並設立「多項勝算對數模型」(multinomial logit model)。實證資料顯示,在年齡、教育程度、省籍、地理區域、政治興趣、政黨理念、族群認同、統獨立場、總統施政滿意評價,以及對於臺灣未來前途評估等方面,政黨認同者與獨立選民均具有顯著差異。在結論中,筆者摘述本文要點與其研究限制。無疑地,政黨認同相關領域的研究仍有寬廣的發展空間,均是值得學界持續關注的議題。
     With respect to a variety of political attitudes, it is generally accepted that "party identification" is an important psychological component associated with a wide range of political behaviors. Preceding literature has also empirically shown that the distribution and intensity of party identifications are profoundly related to the stability, integration, and development of political systems. In this study, we review some research, summarizing four major controversies over party identification: 1) the meaning of the concept "party identification;"2) the measurement of party identification the; 3) the relationship between party identification and political behaviors; and, 4) differences between partisans and independent voters. This study concentrates on the fourth as the research topic, and we take advantage of the 2001 Taiwan's Election and Democratization Study (TEDS 2001) survey data and examine the associations between party identification and individual-level variables, consisting of objective socio-demographic and subjective cognitive variables. The methodology adopted in this study involves two steps. The first approach is the use of cross-tabulation analyses, and the second method employs the multinomial logit model in order to evaluate the simultaneous effect of independent variables on the dependent variable. As hypothesized, the findings reveal that the socio-demographic variables of age, education level, ethnicity, and region exert an important influence on one's identification with the major political parties. The results also indicate that the cognitive variables of political interest, party ideal, ethnic identification, China-reunification or Taiwan-independence position, evolution of presidential performance, and prospective assessment of Taiwan's future have significant difference between partisans and independents. In the conclusion, we review the major findings and limitations of this study and note that party identification is a field worthy of continued research by comparative political scientists.
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會議論文
1.林瓊珠(2001)。台灣民眾政治知識之探析。臺灣政治學會第八屆年會暨「政黨輪替後之臺灣政治」學術研討會,(會議日期: 12月16日)。國立政治大學公企中心。  延伸查詢new window
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研究報告
1.黃紀、朱雲漢、胡佛、劉義周、陳義彥、陳文俊、黃秀端、徐火炎、吳玉山(2001)。臺灣選舉與民主化調查:民國九十年立法委員選舉全國大型民意調查研究 (計畫編號:NSC90-2420-H-194-001)。國立政治大學選舉研究中心。  延伸查詢new window
學位論文
1.莊春滿(1999)。台灣省各縣市環保預算之決定因素:民國七十八年度至八十七年度之實證分析(碩士論文)。國立中正大學,嘉義。  延伸查詢new window
2.葉銘元(1994)。我國獨立選民之研究(碩士論文)。國立政治大學。  延伸查詢new window
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23.Almond, G. A.、Verba, S.(1963)。The civil culture: Political attitudes and democracy in Jive nations。Princeton, NJ:Princeton University Press。  new window
24.Ladd, Everett C. Jr.、Hadley, Charles D.(1975)。Transformations of the American party system: Political coalitions from the New Deal to the 1970s。New York:W. W. Norton。  new window
25.Downs, Anthony J.(1957)。An Economic Theory of Democracy。New York:Harper and Row。  new window
26.Berelson, Bernard R.、Lazarsfeld, Paul F.、McPhee, William N.(1954)。Voting: A Study of Opinion Formation in a Presidential Campaign。University of Chicago Press。  new window
27.Judge, George G.、Hill, R. Carter、Griffiths, William E.、Lütkepohl, Helmut、Lee, Tsoung-Chao(1988)。Introduction to the Theory and Practice of Econometrics。John Wiley & Sons, Inc.。  new window
28.Delli Carpini, Michael X.、Keeter, Scott(1996)。What Americans Know about Politics and Why It Matters。Yale University Press。  new window
29.Rosenstone, Steven J.、Hansen, John Mark(1993)。Mobilization, Participation, and Democracy in America。New York:MacMillan Publishing Company。  new window
30.Campbell, Angus、Converse, Philip E.、Miller, Warren E.、Stokes, Donald E.(1960)。The American Voter。New York:John Wiley and Sons, Inc.。  new window
圖書論文
1.Cohen, Jeffrey E.、Collier, Ken(1999)。Public Opinion: Reconceptualizing Going Public。Presidential Policymaking: An End-of-Century Assessment。Armonk, NY:M. E. Sharpe。  new window
2.Shively, W. Phillips(1980)。The Nature of Party Identification: A Review of Recent Developments。The Electorate Reconsidered。Beverly Hills, CA:Sage。  new window
3.Fiorina, Morris P.(1984)。Explorations of a Political Theory of Party Identification。Controversies in Voting Behavior。Washington, DC:Congressional Quarterly Press。  new window
4.Miller, W. E.(1976)。The Cross-National Use of Party Identification As A Stimulus to Political Inquiry。Party Identification and Beyond: Representations of Voting and Party Competition。New York:John Wiley and Sons。  new window
5.Budge, I.、Farlie, D.(1976)。A comparative analysis o f factors correlated with turnout and voting choice。Party identification and beyond: Representations o f voting and party competition。New York:John Wiley and Sons。  new window
6.Thomassen, J.(1976)。Party identification as a cross-national concept: Its meaning in the Netherlands。Party identification and beyond: Representations of voting and party competition。New York:John Wiley and Sons。  new window
7.Converse, Philip E.(1964)。The Nature of Belief Systems in Mass Publics。Ideology and Discontent。Free Press。  new window
 
 
 
 
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