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題名:年齡、時期、人口年輪與臺灣的貧窮率
書刊名:人口學刊
作者:呂朝賢 引用關係王德睦 引用關係王仕圖 引用關係
作者(外文):Leu, Chao-hsienWang, TemuWang, Shu-twu
出版日期:1999
卷期:20
頁次:頁125-138
主題關鍵詞:貧窮率年齡、時期與人口年輪的分析模型生命週期人口年輪家戶型態Poverty rateAge-period-cohort modelLife cycleAge cohortFamily types
原始連結:連回原系統網址new window
相關次數:
  • 被引用次數被引用次數:期刊(9) 博士論文(0) 專書(0) 專書論文(2)
  • 排除自我引用排除自我引用:8
  • 共同引用共同引用:142
  • 點閱點閱:74
不同的生命週期階段與家庭型態,其貧窮率會有所不同;而不同人口年輪的貧窮率,也會因為人口年輪的人口量差異而影響貧窮率。本文採用人口學研究中有關年齡、時期與人口年輪的分析模型(Age-Period-Cohort Model)來處理歷年來不同家庭型態的貧窮決定因素。 在人口年輪的效果部分,男性家戶戶長的人口年輪中,僅出生於1938至1947年的兩個人口年輪的貧窮率與平均水準有顯著的差異,此可能為戰爭效應的影響。女性家戶戶長雖有女性貧窮化的現象,唯不甚明顯。時期效果方面,男性家戶戶長的貧窮率呈先降後升再降的不穩定狀態,台灣的平均所得在研究期間內持續上升,而所得不均度也持續上升,兩力量的折衝使時期別效果時升時降。對女性家戶戶長而言,貧窮率亦呈現不穩定的狀態,可能因為女性戶長多集中在低所得工作,總體經濟變遷對她們影響較小。 就年齡效果而言,大致上與理論預期相仿。男性戶長在35至44歲以及60歲以上的家庭有較高的貧窮率.30歲以下的男性戶長,由於父母仍多處於工作年齡,因此貧窮率較 低。45-54歲的男性戶長有較低的貧窮率,與子女已經成長,及戶長的薪資較前期為高所致。女性家戶戶長和男性家戶戶長的趨勢一致。與男性家戶戶長不同者,女性家戶戶長年齡在55-59歲者的貧窮機會較高,顯示女性的貧窮機會可能比男性提早來臨。
Poverty rates are known to differ over the stages of life cyc1e and by family types. Poverty rates of cohorts are also known to be affected by their sizes. This paper uses a demographic model, the Age-Period-Cohort model to assess factors affecting poverty rates among different family types. We found that in the cohort effect on poverty rates among different family types, only male households wh□se heads were born in the 1938-1947 period showed significant differences both in terms of poverty rate and the means poverty level. This could be due to the effect of Wor1d War II. Although some feminization of poverty was observed, no significant difference was found. In the period effect on poverty rates among different family types, we found an unstable S shape curve among male heads, a decline in rates first followed by an increase only to be followed by further dec1ine later. This seems to indicate that a continuing ascendant in average income and in income inequality during the study period were responsible for the unstable result. The same was also true among female heads. However, this was due to the fact that female heads tended to work in low wages sectors. The changes in macro economic conditions did little improve the income of female heads. In the age effect on poverty rates among different family types, we found male headed households whose heads were 35-44 years old or 60 years old and elder tended to show higher poverty rates. In those same households whose members age 30 or under tended to have lower poverty rates than others, due to the fact that most of their parents were in working age; and those members age were 45-54 years old also showed lower poverty rates due to the fact that their children had grown and their incomes were higher than previous period. The same trends held true for female heads with the exception for those members age 55-59 years old who showed higher poverty rates. This showed that female heads would enter poverty ear1y than their male counterparts.
期刊論文
1.呂朝賢(19960900)。貧窮女性化與貧窮程度的性別差異。人文及社會科學集刊,8(2),221-256。new window  延伸查詢new window
2.Anderson, W. H. Locke(1964)。Trickling Down: The Relationship between Economic Growth and the Extent of Poverty among American Families。Quarterly Journal of Economics,78(4),511-524。  new window
3.呂朝賢(19950400)。貧窮的性別與婚姻屬性差異。婦女與兩性學刊,6,25-54。new window  延伸查詢new window
4.陳建甫(19960900)。臺灣相對貧窮家戶的現況與變遷。社區發展季刊,75,95-116。new window  延伸查詢new window
5.Downey, D. B.(1995)。When Bigger Is Not Better: Family Size, Parental Resources and Children's Educational Performance。American Sociological Review,60(5),746-761。  new window
6.陳寬政、王德睦、陳文玲(19860600)。臺灣地區人口變遷的原因與結果。人口學刊,9,1-23。new window  延伸查詢new window
7.Browne, Irene(1995)。The Baby Boom and Trends in Poverty, 1967-1987。Social Forces,73(3),1071-1095。  new window
8.Easterlin, Richard A.(1987)。The New Age Structure in American: Permanent or Transient?。Population and Development Review,13,195-208。  new window
9.Easterlin, Richard A.、Macdonald, Christine、Macunovich, Diane J.(1990)。How Have American Baby Boomers Fared? Earnings and Economic Well-Being of Young Adults, 1946-1987。Journal of Population Economics,3,277-290。  new window
10.Hurd, Michael D.(1989)。The Economic Status of the Elderly。Science,244,659-664。  new window
11.Peters, H. Elizabeth、Pampel, Fred C.(1995)。The Easterlin Effect。Annual Review of Sociology,21,163-194。  new window
學位論文
1.呂朝賢(1998)。臺灣的貧窮問題(博士論文)。國立中正大學。new window  延伸查詢new window
圖書
1.Devine, Joel A.、Wright, James D.(1993)。The Greatest of Evils: Urban Poverty and the American Underclass。New York, NY:Walter de Gruyter, Inc.。  new window
2.Murray, C.(1984)。Losing ground: American social policy 1950-1980。New York:Basic Books。  new window
3.Wilson, W. J.(1987)。The Truly Disadvantaged: The Inner City, the Underclass and Public Policy。Chicago:The University of Chicago Press。  new window
4.Kelso, William Alton(1994)。Poverty and the Underclass: Changing Perceptions of the Poor in America。New York:New York University Press。  new window
5.Spicker, Paul(1993)。Poverty and Social Security: Concepts and Principles。London, UK:Taylor & Francis。  new window
6.Alcock, Peter(1993)。Understanding Poverty。London。  new window
7.Citro, Constance F.、Michael, Robert T.(1995)。Measuring Poverty: A New Approach。Washington, D.C.:National Academies Press。  new window
8.Kasarda, John D.(1993)。Urban Industrial Transition and the Underclass。The Ghetto Underclass: Social Science Perspectives。Newbury Park。  new window
9.Easterlin, Richard A.(1987)。Birth and Fortune: The Impact of Numbers on Personal Welfare。University of Chicago Press。  new window
10.Gottschalk, Peter、Danziger, Sheldon(1995)。American Unequal。American Unequal。Cambridge, MA。  new window
11.Fienberg, S. E.、Mason, W. M.(1978)。Identification and Estimation of Age-Period-Cohort Models in the Analysis Archival Data。Sociological Methodology 1979。San Francisco, CA。  new window
12.Fienberg, Stephen E.、Mason, William M.(1985)。Introduction: Beyond the Identification Problem。Cohort Analysis in Social Research: Beyond the Identification Problem。New York, NY。  new window
13.Mead, Lawrence M.(1991)。The New Politics of Poverty: The Working Poor in America。The New Politics of Poverty: The Working Poor in America。New York, NY。  new window
14.Schiller, Bradley R.(1994)。The Economics of Poverty and Discrimination。The Economics of Poverty and Discrimination。Englewood Cliffs, NJ。  new window
圖書論文
1.王德睦、呂朝賢(1997)。人口老化與貧窮率。人口老化與老年照護。中華民國人口學會。  延伸查詢new window
2.Lyson, Thomas A.、Falk, William W.、Henry, Mark、Hickey, JoAnn、Warner, Mildred(1993)。Spatial Location of Economic Activities, Uneven Development, and Rural Poverty。Persistent Poverty in Rural America。Boulder:Westview Press。  new window
 
 
 
 
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