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題名:臺灣選民的真誠投票之推估:模型建構與實證分析
書刊名:選舉研究
作者:張順全許乃偉莊文忠
作者(外文):Chang, Shun-chuanHsu, Nai-weiJuang, Wen-jong
出版日期:2019
卷期:26:2
頁次:頁53-86
主題關鍵詞:真誠投票策略投票分裂投票反事實推理隨機效用模型Sincere votingStrategic votingSplit-ticket votingCounterfactual reasoningRandom utility model
原始連結:連回原系統網址new window
相關次數:
  • 被引用次數被引用次數:期刊(1) 博士論文(0) 專書(0) 專書論文(0)
  • 排除自我引用排除自我引用:1
  • 共同引用共同引用:105
  • 點閱點閱:7
期刊論文
1.吳怡銘(20010500)。臺北市選民分裂投票之研究民國八十七年市長市議員選舉之分析。選舉研究,8(1),159-209。new window  延伸查詢new window
2.McFadden, Daniel L.(2001)。Economic Choices。American Economic Review,91(3),351-378。  new window
3.許勝懋(20010500)。臺北市選民的分裂投票行為--一九九八年市長選舉分析。選舉研究,8(1),117-158。new window  延伸查詢new window
4.王中天(20101100)。獨立選民的類型及其投票行為:臺灣2008年總統選舉的觀察。選舉研究,17(2),35-69。new window  延伸查詢new window
5.劉正山、朱淑華(20121200)。不中間的中間選民:以質性方法初探有政黨傾向選民隱藏政黨傾向的原因。東吳政治學報,30(4),177-233。new window  延伸查詢new window
6.徐永明(20010900)。民調在競選中的角色:以二000年臺灣總統大選中「未表態選民」為例。問題與研究,40(5),105-119。new window  延伸查詢new window
7.張順全、莊文忠、張正享(20151100)。解讀政黨票源與分裂投票:布蘭德-奧特曼差異圖和政治相對發展指標的新應用。選舉研究,22(2),1-40。new window  延伸查詢new window
8.Alvaerz, R. Michael、Nagler, Jonathan(2000)。A New Approach for Modelling Strategic Voting in Multiparty Elections。British Journal of Political Science,30(1),57-75。  new window
9.劉正山、蔡艾真(20161200)。中間選民的迷思與隱性選民之政黨傾向初探。臺灣政治學刊,20(2),65-123。new window  延伸查詢new window
10.李憲榮(20100300)。芬蘭國會選制下的策略性投票。臺灣國際研究季刊,6(1),75-94。new window  延伸查詢new window
11.蕭怡靖、黃紀(20100900)。單一選區兩票制下的一致與分裂投票--2008年立法委員選舉的探討。臺灣民主季刊,7(3),1-43。new window  延伸查詢new window
12.Artabe, Alaitz、Gardeazabal, Javier(2014)。Strategic Votes and Sincere Counterfactuals。Political Analysis,22(2),243-257。  new window
13.Bargsted, Matias A.、Kedar, Orit(2009)。Coalition-Targeted Duvergerian Voting: How Expectations Affect Voter Choice under Proportional Representation。American Journal of Political Science,53(2),307-323。  new window
14.Fisher, Stephen D.(2004)。Definition and Measurement of Tactical Voting: The Role of Rational Choice。British Journal of Political Science,34(1),152-166。  new window
15.Herrmann, Michael(2014)。Polls, Coalitions and Strategic Voting under Proportional Representation。Journal of Theoretical Politics,26(3),442-467。  new window
16.Hall, Andrew B.、Snyder, James M.(2015)。Information and Wasted Votes: A Study of US Primary Elections。Quarterly Journal of Political Science,10(4),433-459。  new window
17.Herrmann, Michael、Pappi, Franz Urban(2008)。Strategic Voting in German Constituencies。Electoral Studies,27(2),228-244。  new window
18.Kiss, Áron(2015)。Identifying Strategic Voting in Two-Round Elections。Electoral Studies,40,127-135。  new window
19.Lago, Ignacio(2008)。Rational Expectations or Heuristics? Strategic Voting in Proportional Representation Systems。Party Politics,14(1),31-49。  new window
20.Lago, Ignacio(2012)。Strategic Voting in Proportional Representation Systems: Evidence from a Natural Experiment。Party Politics,18(5),653-665。  new window
21.Niou, Emerson M. S.(2001)。Strategic Voting under Plurality and Runoff Rules。Journal of Theoretical Politics,13(2),209-227。  new window
22.Muller, Daniel、Page, Lionel(2015)。A New Approach to Measure Tactical Voting: Evidence from the British Elections。Applied Economics,47(36),3839-3858。  new window
23.Meffert, Michael F.、Gschwend, Thomas(2010)。Strategic Coalition Voting: Evidence from Austria。Electoral Studies,29(3),339-349。  new window
24.吳重禮(20080600)。政黨偏好、制衡認知與分裂投票--2006年北高市長暨議員選舉的實證分析。臺灣民主季刊,5(2),27-58。new window  延伸查詢new window
25.王鼎銘(20030300)。策略投票及其影響之檢測:二○○一年縣市長及立委選舉結果的探討。東吳政治學報,16,95-123。new window  延伸查詢new window
26.黃紀、林長志、王宏忠(20130500)。三合一選舉中之一致與分裂投票:以2010年高雄市選舉為例。選舉研究,20(1),1-45。new window  延伸查詢new window
27.林長志、黃紀(20070100)。不同層級選舉中之一致與分裂投票:2005年臺北縣之分析。問題與研究,46(1),1-32。new window  延伸查詢new window
28.黃秀端(20010900)。單一選區與複數選區相對多數制下的選民策略投票。東吳政治學報,13,37-75。new window  延伸查詢new window
29.莊淑媚、洪永泰(20111100)。特定政黨不認同:臺灣地區民意調查中關於政黨認同的新測量工具。選舉研究,18(2),1-29。new window  延伸查詢new window
會議論文
1.Elff, Martin(2014)。Separating Tactical from Sincere Voting: A Finite-Mixture Discrete-Choice Modelling Approach to Disentangling Voting Calculi。Annual Meeting of the Midwest Political Science Association。Chicago。  new window
學位論文
1.Gschwend, Thomas(2004)。Strategic Voting in Mixed Electoral Systems(博士論文)。Stony Brook University。  new window
圖書
1.Achen, Christopher H.、Shively, W. Phillips(1995)。Cross-Level Inference。University of Chicago Press。  new window
2.King, Gary(1997)。A Solution to the Ecological Inference Problem: Reconstructing Individual Behavior from Aggregate Data。Princeton, New Jersey:Princeton University Press。  new window
3.Duverger, Maurice(1954)。Political Parties: Their Organization and Activity in the Modern State。London:Methuen。  new window
4.Arzheimer, Kai、Evans, Jocelyn、Lewis-Beck, Michael S.(2017)。The SAGE Handbook of Electoral Behaviour。London:SAGE。  new window
其他
1.Gelman, Andrew(2014)。The Statistical Crisis in Science,http://www.stat.columbia.edu/~gelman/presentations/psych_crisis.pdf。  new window
2.Pearl, Judea(2018)。Theoretical Impediments to Machine Learning with Seven Sparks from the Causal Revolution,http://ftp.cs.ucla.edu/pub/stat_ser/r475.pdf。  new window
圖書論文
1.黃紀(2008)。單一選區兩票並立制下選民之投票抉擇:分析方法之探討。如何評估選制變遷:方法論的探討。臺北:五南。  延伸查詢new window
2.McFadden, Daniel L.(1974)。Conditional Logit Analysis of Qualitative Choice Behavior。Frontiers in Econometrics。Academic Press。  new window
 
 
 
 
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