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題名:制度選擇如何可能:論日本之選舉制度改革
書刊名:臺灣政治學刊
作者:林繼文 引用關係
作者(外文):Lin, Jih-wen
出版日期:1997
卷期:2
頁次:頁63-106
主題關鍵詞:Single nontransferable voting system under multi-member districtSNTV-MMDElectoral reformJapanese politicsParty realignmentRational choice theorySpatial model日本選舉制度
原始連結:連回原系統網址new window
相關次數:
  • 被引用次數被引用次數:期刊(17) 博士論文(3) 專書(2) 專書論文(2)
  • 排除自我引用排除自我引用:17
  • 共同引用共同引用:116
  • 點閱點閱:39
     歷來關於「多人區單記非讓渡投票制」的研究,多著重於其比例性或政治後果,而較少論及制度選擇的問題。當日本於 1994 年初將該制改為「小選區比例代表並立制」後,既有研究多將其歸因於民眾對於現有體制的不滿。這種看法並不能解釋改革成功的時機 (同樣的改革提案在早先一再挫敗 ),也不能解釋改革的結果為何偏向小選區制而非比例代表制。本研究將制度選擇視為個別行動者策略互動的結果,提出一個新的思考方向。首先,本研究援引空間模型提出基本命題:現狀穩定的充要條件,在於其「全方中位性」。其次,根據此一定理導出三項關於選舉制度改革的假說:(1) 改革必須和其他議題同時提出才可能成功;(2) 改革須在沒有政黨席次過半的情形下才可能成功;(3) 改革為多案競爭,但其軌跡是可以預測的。日本的選舉制度改革印證了這些假說。自民黨在一黨獨大時,曾數次提案改變選舉制度,但都徒勞無功。真正使選制改革進入議程的是兩項因素:(1) 自民黨的分裂;(2) 選制改革成為政界重組的議題之一。最後的結果,反映了革新政黨與自民黨對於小選區制的偏好,但新制度本身也不必然是穩定的。
     Existing studies on single nontransferable voting system under multi- member district (SNTV-MMD) have focused mainly on its proportionality and consequences and paid little attention to its changeablility. When Japan did replace it with a new electoral system in 1994, most works ascribed the reform to the discontent toward corruption induced by the old system. Such a theory accounted for neither the timing nor the outcome of the reform. This article provides a different explanation by treating institutional choice as a result of strategic interaction among individual politicians. Extending a fundamental theorem in spatial theory, we propose a general proposition regarding the possibility of electoral reform: the status quo system is irreplaceable if and only if it is a median in all directions. We then ascertain two initial conditions whereby the proposition can be applied: that SNTV-MMD is roughly the median regarding the proportionality of electoral systems and that the system induces divergent preferences againist itself. Three hypotheses are then derived: (1)SNTV-MMD is irreplaceable if the reform is not associated with other issues, (2) SNTV-MMD is irreplaceable if some party controls the majority of seats, (3)whenever the status quo is irreplaceable, there is more than one viable alternative. These propositions are corroborated by the Japanese experience. Attempts to change SNTV-MMD failed until the LDP broke up and electoral reform became an indispensable issue in Japan's party realignment. The final bill also reflected the common interest of the LDP and the new parties on the single-member district system. However, the stability of the new system is affected by the same logic that this study portrays.
期刊論文
1.Lijphart, Arend(1990)。The Political Consequences of Electoral Laws: 1945-85。American Political Science Review,84(2),481-496。  new window
2.謝復生(19861200)。選舉制度與政黨多寡--兼論科學法則的建立。國立政治大學學報,54,151-163。  延伸查詢new window
3.Dunleavy, Patrick、Margetts, Helen(1995)。Understanding the Dynamics of Electoral Reform。International Political Science Review,16(1),9-29。  new window
4.Cox, Gary W.、Niou, Emerson M. S.(1994)。Seat Bonuses under the Single Non-Transferable Vote System: Evidence from Japan and Taiwan。Comparative Politics,26(2),221-236。  new window
5.Shiratori, Rei(1995)。The Politics of Electoral Reform in Japan。International Political Science Review,16(1),79-94。  new window
6.川人貞史(1987)。中選區制における得票率の分布。北大法學論集,38(2),143-206。  延伸查詢new window
7.大嶽秀夫(1995)。自民黨改革派と小澤グループ:政治改革を目指したニつの政治勢力。レヴァイアサン,17,7-29。  延伸查詢new window
8.不入斗智(1990)。選舉改革をあぐる暗斗。世界,1990(11月號),40-50。  延伸查詢new window
9.水崎節文、森裕城(1995)。中選舉區制における候補者の選舉行動と得票率の的地域的分布。選舉研究,10,16-31。  延伸查詢new window
10.平野貞夫(1994)。証言:政治改革への長い道程。中央公論,1994(九月號),84-94。  延伸查詢new window
11.林崎理(1994)。公職選舉法の改正について。地方自治,559,10-35。  延伸查詢new window
12.河野勝(1995)。九三年政府變動--もう一つの解釋。レヴァイアサン,17,30-51。  延伸查詢new window
13.降矢敬義(1991)。中選舉區制に關する覺書。自治研究,60,6-8。  延伸查詢new window
14.森田朗(1994)。公職選擧法の改正について。地方自治,559,10-35。  延伸查詢new window
15.Davis, Otto A.、DeGroot, Morris H.、Hinich, Melvin J.(1972)。Social Preference Orderings and Majority Rule。Econometrica,40,147-157。  new window
16.Tsebelis, George(1995)。Decision Making in Political Systems: Veto Players in Presidentialism, Parliamentarism, Multicameralism and Multipartism。British Journal of Political Science,25,289-325。  new window
17.張世賢(19950600)。日本眾議院議員選舉區制改革之研究。中國行政評論,4(3),1-42。new window  延伸查詢new window
18.王業立(19950500)。單記非讓渡投票制的政治影響:我國民意代表選舉制度的探討。選舉研究,2(1),147-167。new window  延伸查詢new window
圖書
1.Ordeshook, Peter(1995)。Game Theory and Political Theory: An Introduction。New York:Cambridge University Press。  new window
2.許介鱗(1991)。日本現代史。臺北:三民書局。  延伸查詢new window
3.Ramseyer, J. Mark、Rosenbluth, France McCall(1993)。Japan's Political Marketplace。Harvard University Press。  new window
4.台灣總督府、山本壽賀子(1945)。台灣統治概要。台北:台灣總督府。  延伸查詢new window
5.Goodin, Robert E.、Klingemann, Hans-Dieter(1996)。A New Handbook of Political Science。Oxford University Press。  new window
6.Taagepera, Rein、Shugart, Matthew Søberg(1989)。Seats and Votes: The Effects and Determinants of Electoral Systems。Yale University Press。  new window
7.Rae, Douglas W.(1971)。The Political Consequences of Electoral Laws。New Haven, Conn.:Yale University Press。  new window
8.小林良彰(1985)。計量政治學。東京:成文堂。  延伸查詢new window
9.日本眾議院(1990)。議會制度百年史:議會制度篇。東京:眾議院。  延伸查詢new window
10.石川真澄(1993)。小選舉區制と政治改革。東京:岩波書店。  延伸查詢new window
11.政界往來社。政界往來。  延伸查詢new window
12.宮川隆義。政治ハンドブック。東京:政治廣報センター。  延伸查詢new window
13.讀賣新聞社(1996)。大變革への序章:檢証,新制度下の96衆院選。東京:朝日新聞社。  延伸查詢new window
14.Bogdanor, Vernon、Butler, David(1983)。Democracy and Electoral Systems and Their Political Consequences。Cambridge:Cambridge University Press。  new window
15.Lijphart, Arend(1984)。Democracies: Patterns of Majoritarian and Consensus Government in Twenty-One Countries。Yale University Press。  new window
圖書論文
1.McCubbins, Mathew D.、Rosenbluth, Frances M.(1995)。Party Provision for Personal Politics: Dividing the Vote in Japan。Structure and Policy in Japan and the United States。Cambridge。  new window
2.堀江堪(1989)。改革案の利害得失。日本の選舉、世界の選舉。東京:讀賣新聞社。  延伸查詢new window
3.富森叡兒(1993)。過大な勝利--選舉制度の行方。日本型民主主義の構圖。東京:朝日新聞社。  延伸查詢new window
4.Ordeshook, Peter C.(1992)。The Emerging Discipline of Political Economy。Perspectives on Positive Political Economy。Cambridge:Cambridge University Press。  new window
 
 
 
 
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