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題名：分裂投票解釋觀點與臺灣選舉之應用：以2002年高雄市長與市議員選舉為例
書刊名：臺灣政治學刊
作者：游清鑫
作者(外文)：Yu, Ching-hsin
出版日期：2004
卷期：8:1
頁次：頁47-98
主題關鍵詞：一致投票；分裂投票；平衡論；政黨認同；泛藍；泛綠；Straight-ticket voting；Split-ticket voting；Balancing perspective；Party identification；Pan-blue；Pan-green
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  • 被引用次數被引用次數:期刊(16) 博士論文(1) 專書(1) 專書論文(0)
  • 排除自我引用排除自我引用:16
  • 共同引用共同引用:188
  • 點閱點閱:63
選民分裂投票的原因探討隨著近期分立政府的增加而受到更大的重視，以美國為背景的學術研究，在質量上皆有可觀之處。本文首先檢討當前有關選民分裂投票的解釋觀點，並一步探討這些解釋觀點的跨國適用性，文中指出，美國所具有的特殊政治結構與政黨體系，使得以美國為背景的分裂投票研究，應用到其他國家時，需要重新界定相關概念與內涵。本文第二部分則以2002年高雄市長與市議員選舉為例，探討選民分裂投票的成因，文中特別強調因應台灣現存政黨體系的特性，嘗試在傳統以個別政黨差異研究選民分烈投票的方式之外，再以「泛藍」與「泛綠」兩類政黨聯盟方式進行研究，並指出後者在本個案中具有較高的適用性，同時，研究結果也顯示選民的政黨認同強度、方向與過去投票習性，是解釋選民分裂投票行為的重要因素，其餘相關因素，如年齡、省籍、制衡觀念等，對不同政黨聯盟支持者之分裂投票行為有不同的影響力。本文最後提出研究所得與方法檢討，呼籲學術界因應臺灣特有的政治結構與選民特性，對分裂投票研究提供更為完整的研究取向與內容。
The study of the causes of voter's split-ticket voting has gained its prominence following the increasingly emergence of divided governments in America. These literatures are having merits both in quality and quantity. This article firstly reviews the competing perspectives for the causes of voter's split-ticket voting. It also addresses the issue of cross-national applications of these perspectives. It indicates that, given the unique political institutions and party system, American literatures find themselves difficult applying to other countries. Redefining the relevant concepts and connotations become necessary. This article then takes the 2002 survey data of the elections for city mayor and councilors of Kaohsiung as an example to study voter's split-ticket voting. In particular, owing to peculiar party system in Taiwan, it examines voter's split ticket voting based on individual party and the “pan-blue vs. pan-green” party coalition. It points out that, in Kaohsiung, party coalition model performs better in explaining voter's behavior than the traditional party label. Also, this case study shows that the direction of party identification, the strength of party identification, and voter's past voting patterns are significant for voter's split-ticket voting in both party coalitions. The significances of other factors, such as voter's age, voter's provincial origins, sense of check-and-balance are different when they are applying to different party coalitions. In the concluding remarks, this article summarizes the outcomes and limitations of this study. It also readdresses the importance to formulate a research agenda for the study of the causes of voter's split-ticket voting in Taiwan.
期刊論文
1.Brady, David W.(1993)。The Causes and Consequences of Divided Government: Toward a New Theory of American Politics?。American Political Science Review，87(1)，189-194。  new window
2.Maddox, William S.、Nimmo, Dan D.(1981)。In Search of the Ticket-Splitter。Social Science Quarterly，62(3)，401-408。  new window
3.Rusk, Jerrold G.(1970)。The Effect of the Australian Ballot Reform on Split Ticket Voting: 1876-1908。American Political Science Review，64(4)，1220-1238。  new window
4.Sigelman, Lee、Wahlbeck, Paul J.、Buell, Emmett H. Jr.(1997)。Vote Choice and the Preference for Divided Government: Lessons of 1992。American Journal of Political Science，41(3)，879-894。  new window
5.Burden, B.、Kimball, D. C.(1998)。A New Approach to the Study of Ticket-Splitting。American Political Science Review，92(3)，533-544。  new window
6.Born, Richard(1994)。Split-ticket Voters, Divided Government, and Fiorina's Policy-balancing Model。Legislative Studies Quarterly，19(1)，95-115。  new window
7.Ingberman, Daniel、Villani, John(1993)。An Institutional Theory of Divided Government and Party Polarization。American Journal of Political Science，37(2)，429-471。  new window
8.Jacobson, G. C.(1991)。Explaining Divided Government: Why Can't the Republicans Win the House?。PS: Political Science and Politics，24(4)，640-643。  new window
9.Niemi, Richard G.、Wright, Stephen、Powell, Lynda W.(1987)。Multiple Party Identifiers and the Measurement of Party Identification。Journal of Politics，49(4)，1093-1113。  new window
10.Weisberg, Herbert F.(1980)。A Multidimensional Conceptualization of Party Identification。Political Behavior，2(1)，33-60。  new window
11.Shugart, Matthew S.(199506)。The Electoral Cycle and Institutional Sources of Divided Presidential Government。American Political Science Review，89(2)，327-343。  new window
12.許勝懋(20010500)。臺北市選民的分裂投票行為--一九九八年市長選舉分析。選舉研究，8(1)，117-158。new window  延伸查詢new window
13.黃紀(20011200)。一致與分裂投票：方法論之探討。人文及社會科學集刊，13(5)，541-574。new window  延伸查詢new window
14.Campbell, Angus、Miller, Warren E.(1957)。The Motivational Basis of Straight and Split-ticket Voting。American Political Science Review，51(2)，293-312。  new window
15.王業立(19990600)。立委選舉制度改革之探討。理論與政策，13(2)=50，143-160。new window  延伸查詢new window
16.Beck, Pual Allen、Baum, Lawrence、Clausen, Aage R.、Smith, Charles E. Jr.(1992)。Patterns and Sources of Ticket Splitting in Subpresidential Voting。American Political Science Review，86(4)，916-928。  new window
17.黃德福(19911200)。臺灣地區七十八年底選舉分裂投票之初探研究--以臺北縣、雲林縣與高雄縣為個案。政治學報，19，55-80。new window  延伸查詢new window
18.陳文俊(20030500)。藍與綠--臺灣選民的政治意識型態初探。選舉研究，10(1)，41-80。new window  延伸查詢new window
19.吳重禮、王宏忠(20030500)。我國選民「分立政府」心理認知與投票穩定度：以2000年總統選舉與2001年立法委員選舉為例。選舉研究，10(1)，81-114。new window  延伸查詢new window
20.吳重禮(20000300)。美國「分立性政府」研究文獻之評析：兼論臺灣地區的政治發展。問題與研究，39(3)，75-101。new window  延伸查詢new window
21.洪永泰(19950500)。分裂投票：八十三年臺北市選舉的實證分析。選舉研究，2(1)，119-145。new window  延伸查詢new window
22.Clarke, Harold D.、Stewart, Marianne C.(1987)。Partisan Inconsistency and Partisan Change in Federal States: The Case of Canada。American Journal of Political Science，31(2)，383-407。  new window
23.Alvarez, M.、Schousen, M. M.(1993)。Policy Moderation or Conflicting Expectations? Testing the Intentional Model of Split-Ticket Voting。American Politics Quarterly，21，410-438。  new window
24.Gelman, A.、King, G.(1990)。Establishing Incumbency Advantage Without Bias。American Journal of Political Science，34，1142-1164。  new window
25.Hadley, C. D.(1985)。Dual Partisan Identification in the South。The Journal of Politics，47，254-268。  new window
26.Lacy, D.、Paolino, P.(1998)。Downsian Voting and the Separation of Powers。American Journal of Political Science，42(4)，1180-1199。  new window
27.Mayhew, D.(1974)。Congressional Elections: The Case of Vanishing Marginals。Polity，6(3)，295-317。  new window
28.Soss, J.、Canon, D. T.(1995)。Partisan Divisions and Voting Decisions: US Senators, Governors, and the Rise of A Divided Federal Government。Political Research Quarterly，48，253-274。  new window
會議論文
1.黃紀、張益超(2000)。一致與分裂投票 : 嘉義市一九九七年市長與立委選舉之分析。「政治分析的層次問題」國際學術研討會。嘉義：國立中正大學政治學系暨研究所。1-24。  延伸查詢new window
2.陳敦源、黃東益(1998)。分裂政府在臺灣：地方政治研究的新取向。臺中市：東海大學政治學系。  延伸查詢new window
3.游清鑫(2002)。臺灣民眾的政黨偏好：方向與強度的探討。臺北。  延伸查詢new window
研究報告
1.游清鑫(2002)。臺灣地區「分立政府」與「一致政府」之研究(2/2)--民眾政治態度與分立政府之間的關聯性：臺灣經驗的探索 (計畫編號：NSC 91-2414-H-004-059-)。臺北：行政院國家科學委員會。  延伸查詢new window
學位論文
1.吳怡銘(2000)。台北市選民分裂投票之研究--民國八十七年市長與市議員選舉之分析(碩士論文)。國立中正大學。  延伸查詢new window
2.施奕任(2000)。1998 年高雄市市長與市議員選舉中選民『分裂投票』行為(碩士論文)。國立中正大學。  延伸查詢new window
3.彭怡菲(2001)。臺灣地區分裂投票之研究：選制類型之政治影響，臺中。  延伸查詢new window
圖書
1.Devries, W.、Tarrance, V. L.(1972)。The Ticket Splitter: A New Force in American Politics。Grand Rapids, MI：Eerdmans。  new window
2.Fiorina, Morris(1996)。Divided Government。New York：Macmillan。  new window
3.Cox, gary W.、Kernell, Samuel(1991)。The Politics of Divided Government。Boulder, Colo.：Westview Press。  new window
4.Tarrance, V. Lance、De Vries, Walter、Mosher, Donna L.(1998)。Checked & Balanced: How Ticket-Splitters Are Shaping the New Balance of Power in American Politics。Grand Rapids, MI：William B. Eerdmans。  new window
5.Wattenberg, Martin P.(1991)。The Rise of Candidate Centered Politics: Presidential Elections of the 1980s。Cambridge, MA：Harvard University Press。  new window
6.Alesina, Alberto、Rosenthal, Howard(1995)。Partisan Politics, Divided Government, and the Economy。New York：Cambridge University Press。  new window
7.Jacobson, Gary C.(1990)。The Electoral Origins of Divided Government: Competition in U. S. House Elections, 1946-1988。Boulder, Colo.：Westview Press。  new window
8.Nie, N. H.、Sidney, V.、Petrocik, J. R.(1993)。The Decline of Partisanship。Classics in Voting Behavior。沒有紀錄。  new window
9.Petrocik, J. R.(1991)。Divided Government: Is All in the Campaigns?。The Politics of Divided Government。Boulder, CO。  new window
10.Wattenberg, Martin P.(1996)。The Republican Presidential Advantage in the Age of Party Disunity。The Politics of Divided Government。Boulder, CO。  new window
圖書論文
1.Petrocik, J. R.、Doherty, J.(1996)。The Road to Divided Government: Pave without Intention。Divided Government: Change, Uncertainty, and the Constitutional Order。Lanham, MD：Rowman and Littlefield Publishers。  new window
2.Jacobson, G. C.、Jacobson, Gary C.(1996)。Divided Government and the 1994 Elections。Divided Government: Change, Uncertainty, and the Constitutional Order。Lanham, MD：Rowman & Littlefield。  new window
3.Fiorina, Morris P.(1988)。The Reagan Years: Turning to the Right or Grouping toward the Middle?。The Resurgence of Conservatism in Anglo-American Democracies。Durham, NC：Duke University Press。  new window
 
 
 
 
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