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題名：Rational Choices and Irrational Results: The DPP's Institutional Choice in Taiwan's Electoral Reform
書刊名：Issues & Studies
作者：張傳賢 引用關係／張佑宗 引用關係
作者(外文)：Chang, Alex Chuan-hsien／Chang, Yu-tzung
出版日期：2009
卷期：45:2
頁次：頁23-60
主題關鍵詞：Rational choice；Institutional choice；Mixed-member majoritarian；Electoral reform；Democratic progressive party；DPP
原始連結：連回原系統網址new window
相關次數：
  • 被引用次數被引用次數:期刊(2) 博士論文(0) 專書(0) 專書論文(1)
  • 排除自我引用排除自我引用:2
  • 共同引用共同引用:116
  • 點閱點閱:38
Even though the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) successfully secured its traditional degree of electoral support in Taiwan’s seventh legislative election held on January 12, 2008, its share of seats under the mixed-member majoritarian system declined dramatically. From a rational choice perspective, this paper asks a big question:Why did the DPP government adopt an electoral system that disadvantaged its own party? By examining its prior electoral experience and its expected electoral payoffs under the newsystem, we assert that theDPP’s institutional choice remained rational. Nevertheless, failure to garner electoral support from the traditional pan-Greens, an overestimation of its victory in the 2004 presidential election, and an underestimation of the degree of electoral co-ordination within the pan-Blue camp resulted in electoral defeat for the DPP.
期刊論文
1.Benoit, Kenneth、Hayden, Jacqueline(200405)。Institutional Change and Persistence: The Evolution of Poland’s Electoral System, 1989-2001。Journal of Politics，66(2)，396-427。  new window
2.Andrews, Josephine T.、Jackman, Robert W.(2005)。Strategic Fools: Electoral Rule Choice under Extreme Uncertainty。Electoral Studies，24(1)，65-84。  new window
3.Benoit, Kenneth(2002)。The Endogeneity Problem in Electoral Studies: A Critical Reexamination of Duverger's Mechanical Effect。Electoral Studies，21(1)，35-46。  new window
4.Benoit, Kenneth(2004)。Models of Electoral System Change。Electoral Studies，23(3)，363-389。  new window
5.Benoit, Kenneth、Schiemann, John W.(200104)。Institutional Choice in New Democracies: Bargaining over Hungary's 1989 Electoral Law。Journal of Theoretical Politics，13(2)，153-182。  new window
6.Bunce, Valerie、Csanadi, Maria(199303)。Uncertainty in the Transition: Postcommunism in Hungary。East European Politics & Societies，7(2)，240-275。  new window
7.Fournier, Patrick、Kohno, Masaru(200011)。Japan's Multimember SNTV System and Strategic Voting: The 'M + 1 Rule' and Beyond。Japanese Journal of Political Science，1(2)，275-293。  new window
8.Gallagher, Michael(1992)。Comparing Proportional Representation Electoral Systems: Quotas, Thresholds, Paradoxes and Majorities。British Journal of Political Science，22(4)，469-496。  new window
9.Laver, Michael、Kato, Junko(200112)。Dynamic Approaches to Government Formation and the Generic Instability of Decisive Structures in Japan。Electoral Studies，20(4)，509-527。  new window
10.McFauI, Michael(199903)。Path Dependency during Transitions: Cases from Russia。Constitutional Political Economy，10(1)，27-52。  new window
11.Olsen, Johan P.(199709)。Institutional Design in Democratic Contexts。Journal of Political Philosophy，5(3)，203-229。  new window
12.Park, Cheol Hee(200411)。Political Dynamics of Regime Transformation in Japan in the 1990s。Japanese Journal of Political Science，5(2)，311-322。  new window
13.Reed, Steven R.(1990)。Structure and Behavior: Extending Duverger's Law to the Japanese Case。British Journal of Political Science，20(3)，335-356。  new window
14.Remington, Thomas F.、Smith, Steven S.(199611)。Political Goals, Institutional Context, and the Choice of an Electoral System: The Russian Parliamentary Election Law。American Journal of Political Science，40(4)，1253-1279。  new window
15.Cox, Gary W.、Rosenbluth, Frances M.、Thies, Micahel F.(2000)。Electoral Rules, Career Ambitions and Party Structure: Comparing Factions in Japan's Upper and Lower Houses。American Journal of Political Science，44(1)，115-122。  new window
16.Gallagher, Michael(1991)。Proportionality, Disproportionality and Electoral Systems。Electoral Studies，10(1)，33-51。  new window
17.Cox, Gary W.(1996)。Is the Single Nontransferable Vote Superproportional? Evidence from Taiwan and Japan。American Journal of Political Science，40(3)，740-755。  new window
18.Cox, Gary W.、Rosenbluth, Frances McCall(1996)。Factional Competition for the Party Endorsement。British Journal of Political Science，26(2)，259-269。  new window
19.謝復生、Niemi, Richard G.(1999)。Can Duverger's Law Be Extended to SNTV? The Case of Taiwan's Legislative Yuan Elections。Electoral Studies，18(1)，101-116。  new window
20.Cox, Gary W.、Rosenbluth, Frances McCall、Thies, Michael F.(1998)。Mobilization, Social Networks, and Turnout: Evidence From Japan。World Politics，50(3)，447-474。  new window
21.Lin, Jih-wen(2006)。The Politics of Reform in Japan and Taiwan。Journal of Democracy，17(2)，118-131。  new window
22.Carey, John M.、Shugart, Matthew Soberg(1995)。Incentives to Cultivate a Personal Vote: A Rank Ordering of Electoral Formulas。Electoral Studies，14(4)，417-439。  new window
23.Cox, Gary W.、Rosenbluth, Frances M.、Thies, Michael F.(1999)。Electoral Reform and the Fate of Factions: The Case of Japan's Liberal Democratic Party。British Journal of Political Science，29(1)，33-56。  new window
24.Bawan, Kathleen(1993)。The Logic of Institutional Preferences: German Electoral Laws as a Social Choice Outcome。American Journal of Political Science，37(4)，965-989。  new window
25.Norris, Pippa(1995)。Introduction: The Politics of Electoral Reform。International Political Science Review，16(1)，3-8。  new window
26.Cox, Gary W.、Niou, Emerson M. S.(1994)。Seat Bonuses Under the Single Nontransferable Vote System: Evidence From Japan and Taiwan。Comparative Politics，26(2)，221-236。  new window
27.Riker, William H.(19821200)。The Two-Party System and Duverger's Law: An Essay on the History of Political Science。American Political Science Review，76(4)，753-766。  new window
28.Cox, Gary W.(1991)。SNTV and d'Hondt are 'Equivalent'。Electoral Studies，10(2)，348-352。  new window
29.Vowles, Jack(1995)。The Politics of Electoral Reform in New Zealand。International Political Science Review，16(1)，95-115。  new window
30.王業立(19950500)。單記非讓渡投票制的政治影響：我國民意代表選舉制度的探討。選舉研究，2(1)，147-167。new window  延伸查詢new window
31.Cox, Gary W.(1990)。Centripetal and Centrifugal Incentives in Electoral Systems。American Journal of Political Science，34(4)，903-935。  new window
32.吳重禮(20081200)。A Simple Model for Predicting the Outcome of the 2008 Legislative Yuan Elections in Taiwan。Issues & Studies，44(4)，1-28。new window  new window
會議論文
1.Kato, Junko、Yamamoto, Kentaro(2005)。Competition for Power: Party Switching as a Means for Changing Party Systems in Japan。Party Switching Research Group (PSRG) Workshop。Charlottesville, Virginia。  new window
學位論文
1.Lin, Jih-Wen(1996)。Consequences of the Single Nontransferable Voting Rule: Comparing the Japan and Taiwan Experiences(博士論文)。University of California，Los Angeles。  new window
圖書
1.Cox, Gary W.(1997)。Making Votes Count。Cambridge。  new window
2.O'Donnell, Guillermo、Schmitter, Philippe C.(1986)。Transitions From Authoritarian Rules: Tentative Conclusions About Uncertain Democracies。Baltimore：The Johns Hopkins University Press。  new window
3.Shugart, Matthew S.、Carey, John M.(1992)。Presidents and Assemblies: Constitutional Design and Electoral Dynamic。Cambridge：Cambridge University Press。  new window
4.Duverger, Maurice、North, Barbara、North, Robert(1954)。Political Parties: Their Organization and Activity in the Modern State。London：University Paperbacks, Methuen。  new window
5.Ramseyer, J. Mark、Rosenbluth, Frances McCall(1993)。Japan's Political Marketplace。Cambridge, Massachusetts：Harvard University Press。  new window
6.Downs, Anthony J.(1957)。An Economic Theory of Democracy。New York：Harper and Row。  new window
圖書論文
1.Miyake, Ichiro(1999)。Candidate Evaluation and Voting Choice under the Japanese Electoral System。Elections in Japan, Korea, and Taiwan under the Single Non-Transferable Vote: The Comparative Study of an Embedded Institution。Ann Arbor：University of Michigan Press。  new window
2.Fukui, Haruhiro、Fukai, Shigeko N.(1999)。Campaign for the Japanese Diet。Elections in Japan, Korea, and Taiwan under the Single Non-Transferable Vote: The Comparative Study of an Embedded Institution。Ann Arbor：University of Michigan Press。  new window
3.Reed, Steven R.、Thies, Michael F.(2001)。The Consequences of Electoral Reform in Japan。Mixed-Member Electoral Systems: The Best of Both Worlds?。New York：Oxford University Press。  new window
4.Shugart, Matthew S.、Haggard, Stephan(2001)。Institutions and Public Policy in Presidential Systems。Presidents, Parliaments,and Policy。Cambridge：Cambridge University Press。  new window
5.Grofman, Bernard(1999)。SNTV: An Inventory of Theoretically Derived Propositions and a Brief Review of the Evidence from Japan, Korea, Taiwan, and Alabama。Elections in Japan, Korea, and Taiwan under the Single Non- Transferable Vote: The Comparative Study of an Embedded Institution。Ann Arbor：University of Michigan Press。  new window
6.Reed, Steven R.、Bolland, John M.(1999)。The Fragmentation Effect of SNTV in Japan。Elections in Japan, Korea, and Taiwan under the Single Non-Transferable Vote: The Comparative Study of an Embedded Institution。Ann Arbor, MI：University of Michigan Press。  new window
 
 
 
 
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