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題名:立委選舉中民進黨的「聯合競選策略」:以北高兩市為例
書刊名:臺灣政治學刊
作者:林長志
作者(外文):Lin, Chang-chih
出版日期:2009
卷期:13:1
頁次:頁55-106
主題關鍵詞:SNTV選制聯合競選策略配票選舉效應SNTV electoral systemUnited campaign strategyVote equalizationElectoral effects
原始連結:連回原系統網址new window
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  • 被引用次數被引用次數:期刊(1) 博士論文(1) 專書(0) 專書論文(0)
  • 排除自我引用排除自我引用:1
  • 共同引用共同引用:171
  • 點閱點閱:40
在歷屆的立委選舉中,民進黨各地區的選戰策略容或有所差異,然而觀察臺北、高雄兩直轄市的選舉發現,「聯合競選策略」(united campaign strategy)被廣泛運用,該策略結合同選區的數位候選人爲一選舉聯盟,取代過去個別候選人單獨作戰的競選模式。而伴隨聯合競選而來的「配票」措施,亦成爲在SNTV 選制下,一種特殊的競選策略。本研究主要欲探討促成政黨或候選人採取聯合競選的原因,釐清在何種背景條件或選舉情勢之下,政黨或候選人有較高動機採取聯合競選或進行配票,並試圖評估該策略可能產生的選舉效應。研究結果發現,政黨促成聯合競選與配票的目的包括「團結」、「排外」、與「席次極大化」,而候選人願意配合該競選策略除了希望提高當選機會外,節省競選經費亦是一重要目的。形成聯合競選前的評估因素,則包括了候選人本身的意願、政黨票源的估計、黨內候選人間的實力差距、敵對政黨候選人的實力、以及該選區過去有無聯合競選傳統等。在策略的選舉效應部分,在政黨選區得票率、席次率、以及候選人間平均得票情形,皆須有其他條件如提名策略的配合,聯合競選之策略運用才能在上述三指標上發揮其正面的效果。最後本文認爲,即使立委選舉從第七屆開始改採「單一選區兩票制」,政黨與候選人不再有聯合競選或平均配票的需求,但在地方層級民意代表選舉仍維持SNTV選制的情況下,聯合競選與配票依然會是選舉競爭中重要的競選策略。
This article examines the formation and electoral effects of the <||>united campaign strategy<||> used by the DPP in the Taipei and Kaohsiung City elections. This campaign strategy is a peculiarly maneuvered under SNTV electoral system. Its unique feature is that, instead of campaigning alone, the candidates from a party step up their campaigns as a union to facilitate the allocation of votes, namely <||>vote equalization<||>. The empirical evidence indicates that the formation of this strategy is primarily connected with the rational thinking of a party and its candidates. The goals of this strategy areto raise the chances of winning, to decrease the campaign funds, to equalize the votes for candidates, and to optimize the party's vote shares and seats. Based on an analysis of the outcomes of the comparative research design, <||>a united campaign<||> and <||>vote equalization<||> strategy does not have the positive electoral effects mentioned above without some contributing factors, such as the party's nominating strategy and the gap in the approval rates among candidates. Even though there is changes are taking place in the Legislative Yuan's electoral system, a united campaign and vote equalization strategy will still play an important role in the local legislative elections, which are still under the SNTV system.
期刊論文
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2.包正豪(19980500)。新黨平均配票策略效果之研究:以八十四年立法委員選舉為例。選舉研究,5(1),95-138。new window  延伸查詢new window
3.游清鑫(19991100)。競選策略的個案研究:1998年民進黨臺北市南區立法委員選舉的探討。選舉研究,6(2),163-190。new window  延伸查詢new window
4.Galbraith, John W.、Rae, Nicol C.(1989)。A test of the importance of tactical voting: Great Britain, 1987。British Journal of Political Science,19(1),126-136。  new window
5.姚惠忠(19980900)。政黨提名策略與派系輪政之競局理論分析。人文及社會科學集刊,10(3),451-475。new window  延伸查詢new window
6.Cox, Gary W.(1996)。Is the Single Nontransferable Vote Superproportional? Evidence from Taiwan and Japan。American Journal of Political Science,40(3),740-755。  new window
7.Hsieh, John Fuh-sheng、Niou, Emerson M. S.、Paolino, Philip(1997)。Strategic Voting in the 1994 Taipei City Mayoral Election。Electoral Studies,16(2),153-163。  new window
8.林水波(2002)。第五屆立委選舉配票解析。立法院院聞,30(8),15-28。  延伸查詢new window
9.Reed, Steven R.(1990)。Structure and Behaviour: Extending Duverger's Law to the Japanese Case。British Journal of Political Science,20(3),335-356。  new window
10.Cox, Gary W.(1994)。Strategic Voting Equilibria under the Single Nontransferable Vote。American Political Science Review,88(3),608-621。  new window
11.游清鑫(19960500)。選舉制度、選舉競爭與選舉策略:八十四年北市南區立委選舉策略之個案研究。選舉研究,3(1),137-177。new window  延伸查詢new window
12.Cox, Gary W.、Niou, Emerson M. S.(1994)。Seat Bonuses Under the Single Nontransferable Vote System: Evidence From Japan and Taiwan。Comparative Politics,26(2),221-236。  new window
13.劉義周(19920300)。國民黨責任區輔選活動之參與觀察研究。國立政治大學學報,64,209-233。  延伸查詢new window
14.Cox, Gary W.、Rosenbluth, Frances McCall(1993)。The Electoral Fortunes of Legislative Factions in Japan。American Political Science Review,87(3),577-589。  new window
15.謝相慶(19951200)。單記不可移轉得票法[Single Non-transferable Vote Method]下候選人的當選門檻及政黨的提名策略--以我國第三屆立法委員選舉為例驗證。中山人文社會科學期刊,4(2)=9,305-324。  延伸查詢new window
16.盛杏湲(19981100)。政黨配票與侯選人票源的集散度:一九八三年至一九九五年臺灣地區立法委員選舉的分析。選舉研究,5(2),73-102。new window  延伸查詢new window
17.王業立(19950500)。單記非讓渡投票制的政治影響:我國民意代表選舉制度的探討。選舉研究,2(1),147-167。new window  延伸查詢new window
18.黃秀端(20010900)。單一選區與複數選區相對多數制下的選民策略投票。東吳政治學報,13,37-75。new window  延伸查詢new window
19.謝相慶(2001)。〈選舉配票策略面面觀〉。《中央月刊》,34(12),29-31。  延伸查詢new window
20.Cox, Gary W.(1984)。“Strategic Electoral Choice in Multi-Member Districts: Approval Voting in Practice?”。American Journal of Political Science,28 (4),722-38。  new window
21.Hsieh, John Fuh-sheng, and Richard G. Niemi.(1999)。“Can Duverger’s Law Be Extended to SNTV? The Case of Taiwan’s Legislative Yuan Elections.”。Electoral Studies,18 (1),101-16。  new window
學位論文
1.李瑋聆(2002)。〈2001 年立法委員選舉聯合競選文宣之構成─台北市北區民進黨籍候選人聯合文宣形成之參與觀察〉,台北市。  延伸查詢new window
圖書
1.Duverger, Maurice(1964)。Political Parties: Their Organization and Activity in the Modern State。Political Parties: Their Organization and Activity in the Modern State。London, UK:Lowe and Brydone。  new window
2.中央選舉委員會(1996)。第三屆立法委員選舉實錄。台北:中央選舉委員會。  延伸查詢new window
3.中央選舉委員會(1999)。第四屆立法委員選舉實錄。台北:中央選舉委員會。  延伸查詢new window
4.中央選舉委員會(2002)。第五屆立法委員選舉實錄。台北:中央選舉委員會。  延伸查詢new window
5.中央選舉委員會(1994)。第二屆立法委員選舉實錄。  延伸查詢new window
6.Grofman, Bernard、Lee, Sung-chull、Winckler, Edwin A.、Woodall, Brian(1999)。Elections in Japan, Korea, and Taiwan under the Single Non-Transferable Vote: The Comparative Study of an Embedded Institution。Ann Arbor, MI:University of Michigan Press。  new window
7.中央選舉委員會(2005)。《第六屆立法委員選舉實錄》。台北:中央選舉委員會。  延伸查詢new window
8.Cox, Gary W.(1997)。Making Votes Count。Cambridge。  new window
9.王業立(2006)。比較選舉制度。臺北:五南圖書出版有限公司。  延伸查詢new window
10.黃秀端(1994)。選區服務:立法委員競選連任的基礎。台北:唐山出版社。  延伸查詢new window
11.Downs, Anthony J.(1957)。An Economic Theory of Democracy。New York:Harper and Row。  new window
12.Rose, Richard.(1967)。Influencing Voters: A Study of Campaign Rationality。New York, NY。  new window
圖書論文
1.Duverger, Maurice(1986)。Duverger's Law: Forty Years Later。Electoral Laws and Their Political Consequences。New York:Agathon Press。  new window
 
 
 
 
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