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題名:參選人競選支出效果及其外部性:單記非讓渡投票制下之黨內競爭性分析
書刊名:人文及社會科學集刊
作者:王鼎銘 引用關係
作者(外文):Wang, Ding-ming
出版日期:2011
卷期:23:3
頁次:頁341-370
主題關鍵詞:單記非讓渡投票制黨內競爭競選支出外部性負面 競選Single nontransferable voteSNTVIntraparty competitionCampaign spendingExternalityNegative campaigning
原始連結:連回原系統網址new window
相關次數:
  • 被引用次數被引用次數:期刊(1) 博士論文(1) 專書(1) 專書論文(0)
  • 排除自我引用排除自我引用:1
  • 共同引用共同引用:312
  • 點閱點閱:237
參選人競選開支除了會影響自己的得票率,同時會對對手產生負面外部效 果,這在過去歐美學界已頗具研究成果。本文擴充競選支出的相關理論到台灣 單記非讓渡投票制(SNTV)的國會選舉,檢視學理上SNTV 低當選門檻及同 黨相爭的特性下,同選區同黨對手競選支出的負面效果,是否確實比他黨競爭 者的影響來得大。2004 年立法委員選舉是台灣唯一一次受「政治獻金法」規 範下,採SNTV 選制的國會選舉,本文利用從監察院及中選會蒐集的相關資 料,以兩階段最小平方法(2SLS)分析參選人競選支出對得票率的影響。主 要結論可歸納以下幾點:一、非現任的挑戰者競選支出會對選票增長產生正面 幫助,而現任者支出對選票影響的邊際效果不僅遠低於挑戰者,反而對本身選 票有負面的影響,此一發現吻合Jacobson(1978)所代表的傳統競選支出理 論。二、來自黨外競爭對手支出的負面作用並不顯著,僅對現任者的選票產生 一些影響,對原本票源就不充足的挑戰者而言更毫無作用。三、同黨競爭對手 的支出會對同黨同志的選票產生顯著的負面影響,而且這種黨內互鬥的本質對 擁有票源優勢現任者的直接影響較大,若與黨外對手支出的作用相較,更可發 現跨黨之間的票源競爭性確實較黨內競爭性來得低。四、當同黨參選人數越 多,同黨對手支出影響挑戰者的負面力道又會越強,顯示在這種協調機制較困 難的情況下,同黨相爭對挑戰者的影響越嚴重。
Previous studies have shown that campaign spending not only plays an important role of attracting votes for the candidates, but also imposes a negative externality to their competitors. This paper expands the traditional campaign spending theory to Taiwan Legislative elections where the Single Nontransferable Vote (SNTV) is employed. Since SNTV endorses the characteristics of low electoral threshold and intraparty competition, we distinguish two kinds of opponents’ spending, spending of the same party and other parties, to capture their different influences. The data was collected from the Control Yuan for the 2004 Taiwan Legislative election, which is the only case with SNTV where the political contribution and campaign expenditures data are available. A two-stage least squares (2SLS) model is used to analyze the relationship between candidates’s spending and vote ratio. The findings can be summarized as follows. First, challenger’s spending has a positive effect on their electoral outcome, while the incumbents doesn’t. Second, the interparty competition is not severe, due to the insignificant influence of opponent’s spending from other parties. Third, the spending of same-party competitors has a significant negative externality on the electoral result, especially for the incumbent’s votes. Forth, the negative externality becomes more severe in the large districts. It indicates that the intraparty competition is more brutal when the coordination mechanism fails to function corresponding to larger district magnitude.
期刊論文
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圖書
1.Gujarati, Damodar N.(2003)。Basic Econometrics。Boston, MA:McGraw-Hill。  new window
2.Cox, Gary W.(1997)。Making Votes Count。Cambridge。  new window
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4.Katz, Richard S.(1980)。A Theory of Parties and Electoral Systems。Baltimore, Maryland:The Johns Hopkins University Press。  new window
5.Greene, William H.(2003)。Econometric analysis。Prentice Education。  new window
6.Mackie, Thomas T.、Rose, Richard(1991)。The International Almanac of Electoral History。Washington, D. C.:Congressional Quarterly。  new window
7.Jacobson, Gary C.(2000)。The Politics of Congressional Elections。New York:Longman。  new window
8.Lijphart, Arend(1984)。Democracies: Patterns of Majoritarian and Consensus Government in Twenty-One Countries。Yale University Press。  new window
9.王業立(2008)。比較選舉制度。五南。new window  延伸查詢new window
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11.Ferguson, Thomas.(1995)。Golden Rule: The Investment Theory of Party Competition and the Logic of Money-Driven Political Systems。Chicago。  new window
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其他
1.監察院(2004)。第六屆立委選舉政治獻金會計報告書,台北。  延伸查詢new window
2.中央選舉委員會(2004)。第06屆立法委員選舉區域候選人得票概況,選舉資料庫,http://117.56.211.222, 20090131。  延伸查詢new window
圖書論文
1.Lijphart, Arend、Pintor, Rafael Lopez、Sone, Yasunori(1986)。The Limited Vote and the Single Nontransferable Vote: Lessons from the Japanese and Spanish Examples。Electoral Laws and Their Political Consequences。New York:Agathon Press, Inc.。  new window
 
 
 
 
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