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題名：單一選區兩票制對未來臺灣政黨政治發展之可能影響探討
書刊名：臺灣民主季刊
作者：盛治仁
作者(外文)：Sheng, Emile C. J.
出版日期：2006
卷期：3:2
頁次：頁63-85
主題關鍵詞：單一選區兩票制；席次減半；選制改革；政黨版圖；任期限制；Single-member district dual ballot system；Mixed-member electoral system；Seats reduction in half；Electoral rule chance；Political landscape；Term limit
原始連結：連回原系統網址new window
相關次數：
  • 被引用次數被引用次數:期刊(24) 博士論文(9) 專書(3) 專書論文(2)
  • 排除自我引用排除自我引用:23
  • 共同引用共同引用:200
  • 點閱點閱:113
臺灣在2005年的修憲案中，確立了未來立法委員的選舉制度改為單一選區兩票制，並將席次減半的變革。本文嘗試從政黨體系、政治版圖、國會生態、政黨組織、選票與議席的比例程度、政黨實力消長，以及新選制在消除SNTV 制度的負面影響等面向上，探討新制度對未來臺灣政治運作可能造成的影響。作者認為新選制可能會降低民意的代表性、產生萬年立委、並深化北藍南綠的既有政治結構，應該思考從不分區立委的提名及任期限制等面向著手，降低新制度的負面衝擊。作者希望本文的討論可收拋磚引玉之效，讓學界思辨新制度潛在的正負面影響，提出配套改革措施以收防微杜漸之效。
In a constitutional amendment in 2005, Taiwan changed its legislative electoral system to a single-member district, dual ballot system and reduced the number of legislative seats. This article discusses the possible influence of these changes on future Taiwanese politics from the following perspectives: the party system, political landscape, legislative system, party organization, proportion of votes to seats, party strength, and effectiveness in eliminating past problems of the original SNTV electoral system. The author thinks that the new electoral system could reduce representation of public opinion, produce long-term incumbents, and enhance the current regional dominance of the KMT in the north and the DPP in the south. The author also makes recommendations to correct these potential problems, which would arise from the nomination of legislators at large, and to consider the possibility of implementing term limits. The author hopes this article will raise further deliberation amongst scholars to collectively propose institutions to correct or prevent these potentially negative effects.
期刊論文
1.Adams, James D.、Kenny, Lawrence W.(1986)。Optimal Tenure of Elected Public Officials。Journal of Law and Economics，29(2)，303-328。  new window
2.Carey, John W.、Niemi, Richard G.、Powell, Linda W.(1998)。The Effects of Term Limits on State Legislatures。Legislative Studies Quarterly，23(2)，271-300。  new window
3.Cox, Gary W.、Rosenbluth, F. M.、Thies, M. F.(1999)。Electoral Reform and the Fate of Factions: The Case of Japan's LDP。British Journal of Political Science，29(1)，33-56。  new window
4.Cox, Gary W.、Rosenbluth, F. M.、Thies, M. F.(1998)。Mobilization, Social Networks, and Turnout: Evidence from Japan。World Politics，50(3)，447-474。  new window
5.Daniel, Kermit、Lott, John R. Jr.(1997)。Term Limits and Electoral Competitiveness: Evidence From California's State Legislative Races。Public Choice，90(1-4)，165-184。  new window
6.Donovan, Mark(1995)。The Politics of Electoral Reform in Italy。International Political Science Review，16(1)，31-46。  new window
7.Ferrara, Federico(2004)。Electoral Coordination and the Strategic Desertion of Strong Parties in Compensatory Mixed Systems With Negative Vote Transfers。Electoral Studies，23(3)，391-413。  new window
8.Iwai, Tomoaki(1999)。The Pressing Need for Electoral Reform in Japan。National Institute for Research Advancement Review，6(4)。  new window
9.Jewell, Malcolm、Breaux, David(1991)。Southern Primary and Electoral Competition and Incumbent Success。Legislative Studies Quarterly，16(1)，129-143。  new window
10.Jewell, Malcolm、Breaux, David(1988)。The Effect of Incumbency on State Legislative Elections。Legislative Studies Quarterly，13(4)，495-514。  new window
11.Kostadinova, T.(2002)。Do Mixed Electoral Systems Matter? A Cross-National Analysis of their Effects in Eastern Europe。Electoral Studies，21(1)，23-34。  new window
12.Moser, R. G.、Scheiner, E.(2004)。Mixed Electoral Systems and Electoral System Effects: Controlled Comparison and Cross-National Analysis。Electoral Studies，23(4)，575-599。  new window
13.Nishikawa, M.、Herron, E. S.(2004)。Mixed Electoral Rules' Impact on Party Systems。Electoral Studies，23(4)，753-768。  new window
14.Schaap, Ross D.(2005)。The House of Representatives’ Election in Japan, November 2003。Electoral Studies，24(1)，136-142。  new window
15.Schoen, H.(1999)。Split-Ticket Voting in German Federal Elections, 1953-1990: An Example of Sophisticated Balloting?。Electoral Studies，18(4)，473-496。  new window
16.Thies, Michael F.(2002)。The General Elections in Japan, June 2000。Electoral Studies，21(1)，147-154。  new window
17.謝相慶(19991100)。日本眾議院議員新選舉制度及其政治效應--以1996年選舉為例。選舉研究，6(2)，45-87。new window  延伸查詢new window
18.Cox, Gary W.、Niou, Emerson M. S.(1994)。Seat Bonuses Under the Single Nontransferable Vote System: Evidence From Japan and Taiwan。Comparative Politics，26(2)，221-236。  new window
19.Sakamoto, Takayuki(1999)。Explaining Electoral Reform: Japan versus Italy and New Zealand。Party Politics，5(4)，419-438。  new window
20.Shiratori, Rei(1995)。The Politics of Electoral Reform in Japan。International Political Science Review，16(1)，79-94。  new window
21.林繼文(19971200)。制度選擇如何可能：論日本之選舉制度改革。臺灣政治學刊，2，63-106。new window  延伸查詢new window
22.Massicotte, Louis、Blais, André(1999)。Mixed Electoral Systems: A Conceptual And Empirical Survey。Electoral Studies，18(3)，341-366。  new window
23.林繼文(19990600)。單一選區兩票制與選舉制度改革。新世紀智庫論壇，6，69-79。  延伸查詢new window
24.Vowles, Jack(1995)。The Politics of Electoral Reform in New Zealand。International Political Science Review，16(1)，95-115。  new window
25.張世賢(19950600)。日本眾議院議員選舉區制改革之研究。中國行政評論，4(3)，1-42。new window  延伸查詢new window
26.蔡學儀(20021100)。國會改造之選舉制度方案比較。選舉研究，9(2)，117-150。new window  延伸查詢new window
27.王業立(19950500)。單記非讓渡投票制的政治影響：我國民意代表選舉制度的探討。選舉研究，2(1)，147-167。new window  延伸查詢new window
28.Golder, Matt(2005)。Democratic Electoral Systems Around the World, 1946-2000。Electoral Studies，24(1)，103-121。  new window
會議論文
1.Christensen, R. V.(1998)。Putting New Wine into Old Bottles: The Effect of Electoral Reforms on Campaign Practices in Japan。The American Political Science Association of the Annual Meetings，(會議日期: 1998/03/26-03/29)。Boston。  new window
2.Iwai, Tomoaki(1999)。The Application of the Enhanced Agency Principle and its Effect on Campaigning。The Japanese Association for Electoral Studies of the annual meeting，(會議日期: 1999/05/23)。Akita Keizai Hoka Daigaku。  new window
3.Yoshida, S.(1999)。Political Reform as Viewed through Political Finance。The Japanese Political Science Association of the 1999 annual meeting，(會議日期: 1999/10/02-10/03)。Tokyo。  new window
研究報告
1.(2004)。修憲公聽會會議。  延伸查詢new window
圖書
1.Morton, Rebecca(2006)。Analyzing Elections。New York：W W Norton & Co Inc.。  new window
2.Ramseyer, J. Mark、Rosenbluth, Frances M.(1997)。Japan's Political Marketplace: With a New Preface。Cambridge：University of Harvard Press。  new window
3.Reed, Steven(2003)。Japanese Electoral Politics: Creating a New Party System。New York：Routledge Curzon。  new window
4.Reeve, Andrew、Ware, Alan(1992)。Electoral Systems: A Comparative and Theoretical Introduction。NY：Routledge。  new window
5.Sasaki, T.、Shinichi, Y.、Masaki, T.、Shuji, Y.(1999)。Diet Members and Money。Tokyo：Asahi shimbun-sha。  new window
6.Schwartz, F. J.(1998)。Advice and Consent: The Politics of Consultations in Japan。New York：University of Cambridge Press。  new window
7.Shugart, Matthew Søberg、Wattenberg, Martin P.(2001)。Mixed-Member Electoral Systems: The Best of Both Worlds?。Oxford University Press。  new window
8.王業立(1998)。比較選舉制度。台北：五南圖書。  延伸查詢new window
9.Duverger, Maurice(1959)。Institutions Politiques et Droit Constitutionnel。Paris：universitaires de France Presses。  new window
10.Norris, Pippa(2004)。Electoral Engineering: Voting Rules and Political Behavior。Cambridge：Cambridge University Press。  new window
11.Rae, Douglas W.(1971)。The Political Consequences of Electoral Laws。New Haven, Conn.：Yale University Press。  new window
12.謝復生(1992)。政黨比例代表制。臺北市：理論與政策雜誌社。new window  延伸查詢new window
單篇論文
1.Reed, S. R.，Yokoyama, A.(1998)。Explaining Turnout in the 1996 Japanese General Election: Mobilization, Closeness and Bipolarity。  new window
其他
1.Electoral Reform Society(2000)。New Zealand and Electoral Reform: An ERS Briefing，http://www.electoral-reform.org.uk/publications/briefings/newzealand.PDF， 2005/10/10。  new window
圖書論文
1.盛杏湲(2002)。民主國家國會議員選制改革的經驗。國會改革與憲政發展。臺北：國家政策研究基金會。  延伸查詢new window
2.隋杜卿(2002)。立委選制改革對政治運作的影響--以單一選區兩票制為例。國會改革與憲政發展。臺北：國家政策研究基金會。  延伸查詢new window
3.Grofman, Bernard、Sutherland, Neil(1996)。Gubernatorial Term Limits and Term Lengths in Historical Prespective, 1790-1990。Legislative Term Limits: Public Choice Perspectives。Boston：Kluwer。  new window
4.Reed, S. R.(1994)。The Incumbency Advantage in Japan。The Victorious Incumbent: A Threat to Democracy?。Aldershot, Hants：Dartmouth。  new window
 
 
 
 
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