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題名：城市氣候風險治理評估指標建構之初探
書刊名：思與言
作者：許耿銘 引用關係
作者(外文)：Hsu, Keng-ming
出版日期：2014
卷期：52:4
頁次：頁203-258
主題關鍵詞：城市；氣候風險；風險治理；指標；德菲法；City；Climate risk；Risk governance；Indicator；Delphi
原始連結：連回原系統網址new window
相關次數：
  • 被引用次數被引用次數:期刊(4) 博士論文(0) 專書(0) 專書論文(1)
  • 排除自我引用排除自我引用:2
  • 共同引用共同引用:381
  • 點閱點閱:210
因氣候異常導致澇旱交替的場景，近來經常在世界各地出現。由於氣候變遷等因素，致使各國增加風險的機會。臺灣即屬高災害風險地區，氣候與環境變遷因素將凸顯風險與脆弱度問題的嚴重性，其中高密度發展的城市地區，更是容易發生災害的氣候敏感區位。氣候變遷的高度不確定性與大規模災害的脆弱因子，以及對應需具備防範與處置之能力，皆為氣候治理之風險要素。是故本研究為瞭解氣候變遷對於城市之衝擊，希冀建置指標系統，俾使風險評估有更具體的參考依據。由於城市氣候風險治理在國內相關研究文獻付之闕如，因此本研究之主要目的，乃係從既有之相關文獻，初步得知城市氣候風險治理的要素與指標；繼之透過德菲法、專家諮詢與層級分析等研究方法，最終彙整出包含3項構面、13項次級要素與31項指標之城市氣候風險治理評估指標體系。後續之研究工作，可以本指標體系為基礎，在「指標體系」面向上，應考量指標適用之模組、指標體系之實際應用，與指標數據之統計與公布；在「城市因應氣候風險」面向上，則需關注城市於指標項目水準之提升、適切管理與具體衡量重要的評核項目、指標受到環境結構因素影響的程度與範疇。
Due to the climatic anomalies, the alternation between flooding and drought usually occur around the world. Because of climate change and other factors, resulting in increased opportunities for risk with countries. Taiwan is a high disaster risk area, climate and environmental change factors will highlight the seriousness of the risk and vulnerability issues. High-density development areas in cities are where is prone to disasters. High degree of uncertainty of climate change, vulnerability factors in large scale disasters and the need of having corresponding ability to prevent and the disposal are all risk factors of climate governance. Therefore, this study is to understand the impact of climate change for the city, hoping to build a system of indicators to allow risk assessments for more specific reference. For lacking of relevant urban climate governance literature in domestic academic, so the main purpose of this study is to learn elements and indicators of climate risk governance from existing relevant literature. Followed by using Delphi method, advisory specialist and the analytic hierarchy process and finally we summarize three dimensions, fourteen secondary elements and thirty-six indicators of urban climate risk governance evaluation system. This indicator system can provide the subsequent research with foundation in ＂indicator system＂ aspect which is to consider ideal candidate, value of indicators, verification of indicators and statistics and publications of index data. Moreover, in ＂coping city climate risk＂ aspect, we need to focus on improvement of indicators, appropriate management, critical assessment of specific projects, and the degree and scope that indicators affected by environmental structural factors.
期刊論文
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4.Dalkey, Norman C.(1969)。The Delphi method: An experimental study of group opinion。Rand Corporation。  new window
5.單信瑜(2005)。2005年全球環境永續指數（ESI）--降低天然災害傷害指數分析與建議。臺北：內政部消防署。  延伸查詢new window
圖書
1.Kidokro, T.、Harata, N.、Subanu, L. P.、Jessen, J.、Motte, A.、Seltzer, E. P.(2008)。Sustainable City Regions: Space, Place and Governance。Tokyo：Springer。  new window
2.Schwab, Anna J.、Eschelbach, Katherine、Brower, David J.(2007)。Hazard mitigation and preparedness: Building resilient communities。Hoboken, New Jersey：Wiley。  new window
3.Linstone, Harold A.、Turoff, Murray(1975)。The Delphi Method: Technique and Applications。Addison-Wesley Publishing Company。  new window
4.許晃雄、陳正達、盧孟明、陳永明、周佳、吳宜昭(2011)。台灣氣候變遷科學報告。臺北：行政院國家科學委員會。  延伸查詢new window
5.台北市政府環境保護局(2003)。台北市環境保護計畫。臺北：臺北市政府環境保護局。  延伸查詢new window
6.World Economic Forum(2009)。The Global Competitiveness Report 2009-2010。World Economic Forum。  new window
7.Webster, D.、Muller, L.(2000)。Urban Competitiveness Assessment in Developing Country Urban Regions: The Road Forward。Washington, DC：Urban Group：INFUD：World Bank。  new window
8.Brunner, Ronald、Steelman, Toddi A.、Coe-Juell, Lindy、Cromley, Christina(2005)。Adaptive Governance: Integrating Science, Policy and Decision Making。New York：Columbia University Press。  new window
9.IEA(2008)。World Energy Outlook 2008。Paris：IEA。  new window
10.UKCIP(2003)。Climate Adaptation: Risk, Uncertainty and Decisionmaking。Oxford：UKCIP。  new window
11.UNDRO(1980)。Natural Disasters and Vulnerability Analysis: Report of Experts Group Meeting。Geneva：UNDRO。  new window
12.Bulkeley, Harriet、Betsill, Michele Merrill(2003)。Cities and Climate Change: Urban Sustainability and Global Environmental Governance。Routledge。  new window
13.Sustainable Seattle(1993)。The Sustainable Seattle 1993, Indicators of Sustainable Community: A Report to Citizens on Long-term Trends in Our Community。Seattle, WA：Sustainable Seattle。  new window
14.United Nations Center Human Settlements(1997)。Monitoring Human Settlements with Urban Indicators。Nairobi：UNCHS。  new window
15.黃懿慧(1994)。科技風險與環保抗爭--臺灣民眾風險認知個案研究。五南圖書出版公司。  延伸查詢new window
16.Dunn, William N.(2004)。Public Policy Analysis: An Introduction。Pearson Education, Inc.。  new window
17.Denney, David(2005)。Risk and Society。SAGE Publications Ltd。  new window
18.Newman, Peter、Beatley, Timothy、Boyer, Heather(2009)。Resilient Cities: Responding to Peak Oil and Climate Change。Washington, D. C.：Island Press。  new window
19.Beck, Ulrich、Ritter, Mark A.(1997)。The Reinvention of Politics: Rethinking Modernity in the Global Social Order。Cambridge, Mass：Polity Press。  new window
20.顧忠華(20010000)。第二現代：風險社會的出路？。臺北：巨流。new window  延伸查詢new window
21.Luhmann, Niklas(1991)。Soziologie des Risikos。Walter de Gruyter。  new window
22.李長晏(20070000)。邁向府際合作治理：理論與實踐。臺北：元照。new window  延伸查詢new window
23.Giddens, Anthony(1990)。The Consequences of Modernity。Stanford, CA：Stanford University Press。  new window
24.Adler, Michael、Ziglio, Erio(1996)。Gazing into the oracle: The Delphi method and its application to social policy and public health。Jessica Kingsley。  new window
25.Saaty, Thomas L.(1980)。The Analytic Hierarchy Process: Planning, Priority Setting, Resource Allocation。McGraw-Hill。  new window
26.Beck, Ulrich、Ritter, Mark(1992)。Risk Society。London：Sage。  new window
其他
1.林子倫(2005)。後京都時代的城市角色：全球化與在地化之關鍵節點，http://e-info.org.tw/special/wed/2005/we05061001.htm。  延伸查詢new window
2.台南市政府(2005)。台南市永續發展指標，http://bud.tncg.gov.tw/bud/doc/cp/tnsus/index.files/04.htm， 2012/12/17。  new window
3.Bristol City Council(2003)。Indicators of the Quality of Life in Bristol，http://www.bnstol.gov.uk/ccm/content/Council-Democracy/Statistics-Census-Information/indicators-of-tne-aualitv-of-liie-in-bnstol.en?page= 2#intemalSection2， 2012/12/23。  new window
4.Fisher, D. R.，Liebl, D. S.(1996)。Eau Claire County Indicators，http://www.uwex.edu/ces/ag/sus/html/eau_claire_county.html， 2012/12/21。  new window
5.Green City Blue Lake Institute(1999)。Kent’s goals for sustainability，http://www.ecocitycleveland.org/ecologicaldesign/whatcities/kent.html.， 2012/12/24。  new window
6.Waitakere City Council(2003)。Key Performance Indicators Surveys，http://www.waitakere.govt.nz/abtcnl/kpisurveys.asp， 2012/12/24。  new window
7.International Council for Local Environmental Initiatives(2009)。Local solutions to global challenges，http://www.iclei.org/fileadmin/user_upload/documents/Global/About_ICLEI/brochures/ICLEI-China.pdf， 2013/07/15。  new window
8.Germanwatch(2011)。Global Climate Risk Index 2012，http://www.germanwatch.org/klima/cri.htm， 2012/12/21。  new window
9.Fisher, Dana R.，Liebl, David S.(2011)。Climate Change Performance Index 2012，http://www.german-watch.org/klima/ccpi.htm， 2012/12/21。  new window
10.Maplecroft(2011)。World’s Fastest Growing Populations Increasingly Vulnerable to The Impacts of Climate Change - 4th Global Atlas Reports，http://maple-croft.com/about/news/ccvi-2012.html， 2012/12/01。  new window
11.World Bank(2013)。Urban Development，http://data.worldbank.org/topic/urban-development?display=graph， 2013/11/18。  new window
12.經濟部能源局(2009)。我國燃料燃燒C02排放統計與分析，臺北：經濟部能源局。，http://www.moeaboe.gov.tw/promote/greenhouse/files/我國CO2 排放趨勢.pdf， 2008/05/01。  延伸查詢new window
圖書論文
1.Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change(2014)。Summary for policymakers。Climate Change 2014: Mitigation of Climate Change : Working Group III Contribution to the IPCC Fifth Assessment Report。Cambridge University Press。  new window
2.倪鵬飛(2010)。全球城市競爭力：理論框架與指標體系。全球城市競爭力報告2009-2010，創新：城市競爭力不竭之源。北京：社會科學文獻。  延伸查詢new window
3.Berkes, Fikret、Folke, Carl(2000)。Linking Social and Ecological Systems for Relisience and Sustainability。Linking Social and Ecological Systems: Management Practices and Social Mechanisms for Building Resilience。Cambridge：Cambridge University Press。  new window
4.Keating, Michael(2003)。The Invention of Regions: Political Restructuring and Territorial Government in Western Europe。State/Space: A Reader。Blackwell Pub.。  new window
5.Salet, Willem、Thornley, Andy、Kreukels, Anton(2003)。Institutional and Spatial Coordination in European Metropolitan Regions。Metropolitan Governance and Spatial Planning: Comparative Studies of European City-Regions。London：Spon Press。  new window
6.Satterthwaite, David、Dodman, David、Bicknell, Jane(2009)。Conclusions: Local Development and Adaptation。Adapting Cities to Climate Change: Understanding and Addressing the Development Challenges。London：Earthscan。  new window
7.Schneider, Stephen H.、Semenov, Serguei、Patwardhan, Anand、Burton, Ian、Magadza, Chris H. D.、Suarez, Avelino、Yamin, Farhana(2007)。2007: Assessing Key Vulnerabilities and the Risk from Climate Change。Climate Change 2007: Impacts, Adaptation and Vulnerability. Contribution of Working Group II to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change。Cambridge：Cambridge University Press。  new window
8.IPCC(2013)。Summary for Policymakers。Climate Change 2013: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change。Cambridge University Press。  new window
9.Bolin, B.(2007)。Race, Class, Ethnicity, and Disaster Vulnerability。Handbook of Disaster Research。New York：Springer。  new window
 
 
 
 
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